#73 Petey's Pirates (25-5)

avg: 1274.68  •  sd: 41.7  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
140 Crucible Win 13-8 1479.61 Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
237 Stormborn** Win 13-5 1081.64 Ignored Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
242 RnB** Win 13-5 1065.07 Ignored Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
153 Jackpot Win 13-4 1520.99 Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
15 Loco Loss 10-13 1474.19 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
55 Malice in Wonderland Loss 11-13 1180.93 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
131 Legion Win 13-9 1448.22 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
231 Buffalo Brain Freeze** Win 11-2 1111.11 Ignored Jul 6th Motown Throwdown 2019
257 Derby City Thunder Win 11-5 977.02 Jul 6th Motown Throwdown 2019
289 Taco Cat** Win 11-4 567.09 Ignored Jul 6th Motown Throwdown 2019
172 Prion Win 10-6 1295.3 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2019
151 Buffalo Lake Effect Loss 8-9 798.09 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2019
214 Stackcats Win 13-7 1194.79 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2019
155 Goose Lee Win 12-9 1258.57 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2019
196 Petey's Scallywags Win 13-8 1196.87 Aug 11th CUDA Round Robin 2019
249 Second Wind** Win 13-3 1022.82 Ignored Aug 11th CUDA Round Robin 2019
170 Thunderpants the Magic Dragon Win 13-4 1407.18 Aug 11th CUDA Round Robin 2019
251 Mishigami Win 13-6 1016.19 Aug 24th Indy Invite Club 2019
263 SlipStream** Win 13-5 935.55 Ignored Aug 24th Indy Invite Club 2019
170 Thunderpants the Magic Dragon Win 13-4 1407.18 Aug 24th Indy Invite Club 2019
196 Petey's Scallywags Win 14-8 1236.75 Aug 25th Indy Invite Club 2019
135 Los Heros Win 14-12 1232.04 Aug 25th Indy Invite Club 2019
132 Liquid Hustle Win 15-10 1477.43 Aug 25th Indy Invite Club 2019
228 Midwestern Mediocrity** Win 13-5 1125.94 Ignored Sep 7th East Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
251 Mishigami** Win 13-4 1016.19 Ignored Sep 7th East Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
175 Moonshine Win 13-5 1381.83 Sep 7th East Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
155 Goose Lee Win 14-11 1226.55 Sep 7th East Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
17 Steamboat Loss 8-15 1212.45 Sep 8th East Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
33 Hybrid Loss 11-15 1219.4 Sep 8th East Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
175 Moonshine Win 15-7 1381.83 Sep 8th East Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)