#130 Impact (15-12)

avg: 968.83  •  sd: 73.38  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
167 Wildstyle Win 13-9 1201.86 Jun 30th Texas Two Finger 2018
52 Instant Karma Loss 7-9 1065.71 Jun 30th Texas Two Finger 2018
178 Balloon Win 10-7 1077.97 Jun 30th Texas Two Finger 2018
97 tHUMP Win 10-9 1264.88 Jul 1st Texas Two Finger 2018
64 Sellout Win 12-10 1526.37 Jul 1st Texas Two Finger 2018
104 Shakedown Loss 5-15 500.57 Jul 1st Texas Two Finger 2018
184 Mousetrap Win 11-9 907.28 Jul 14th MN Ultimate Disc Invitational 2018
145 Pandamonium Loss 8-11 519.77 Jul 14th MN Ultimate Disc Invitational 2018
72 Bird Loss 7-11 799.42 Jul 14th MN Ultimate Disc Invitational 2018
228 Mixed Duluth Win 11-5 928.27 Jul 14th MN Ultimate Disc Invitational 2018
202 Great Minnesota Get Together Win 13-8 1049.96 Jul 15th MN Ultimate Disc Invitational 2018
233 ALTimate Brews** Win 11-4 888.36 Ignored Jul 15th MN Ultimate Disc Invitational 2018
166 Spirit Fowl Loss 11-12 662.68 Jul 15th MN Ultimate Disc Invitational 2018
145 Pandamonium Win 9-5 1414.44 Jul 15th MN Ultimate Disc Invitational 2018
248 Mixed on the Rock** Win 13-3 393.91 Ignored Aug 11th Hootie on the Hill 2018
215 Free Ride Win 12-9 837.38 Aug 11th Hootie on the Hill 2018
94 Tex Mix Win 13-11 1381.87 Aug 11th Hootie on the Hill 2018
135 Blitzkrieg Loss 11-13 728.89 Aug 11th Hootie on the Hill 2018
159 Hellbenders Win 15-8 1375.55 Aug 12th Hootie on the Hill 2018
128 Boomtown Loss 13-15 763.56 Aug 12th Hootie on the Hill 2018
115 STAX Win 11-8 1403.04 Aug 12th Hootie on the Hill 2018
25 The Chad Larson Experience Loss 9-13 1182.19 Sep 15th West Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
93 Thoroughbred Loss 11-12 1031.54 Sep 15th West Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
135 Blitzkrieg Loss 8-13 461.57 Sep 15th West Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
215 Free Ride Win 13-4 1092.01 Sep 16th West Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
159 Hellbenders Loss 11-13 581.9 Sep 16th West Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
111 panIC Loss 11-13 837.65 Sep 16th West Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)