#6 Snake Country (34-5)

avg: 1942.98  •  sd: 63.81  •  top 16/20: 94%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
22 XIST Win 15-10 2071.65 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
32 UNION Win 15-5 2140.8 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
1 AMP Loss 7-15 1553.89 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
- Crash Win 15-8 1890.12 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
1 AMP Loss 12-15 1853.39 Jun 24th Boston Invite 2018
- Anchor Win 12-8 2006.59 Jun 24th Boston Invite 2018
33 League of Shadows Win 15-11 1917.12 Jun 24th Boston Invite 2018
24 Rally Win 12-9 1956.48 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
41 Storm Loss 12-13 1354.16 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
87 Sparkle Ponies Win 12-8 1618.58 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
5 Space Heater Win 13-8 2459.1 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
24 Rally Win 12-7 2131.62 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
30 Jughandle Win 10-9 1682.35 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
18 Loco Win 13-7 2291.93 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
55 American Barbecue** Win 13-5 1924.28 Ignored Aug 18th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
35 Classy Win 10-7 1903.38 Aug 18th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
13 Birdfruit Win 12-10 2017.41 Aug 18th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
81 Pegasus Win 13-9 1655.86 Aug 18th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
39 Minnesota Star Power Win 13-5 2099.53 Aug 19th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
13 Birdfruit Loss 8-13 1283.13 Aug 19th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
23 Lights Out Win 13-11 1843.3 Aug 19th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
241 Dead Reckoning** Win 15-1 736.33 Ignored Sep 8th East New England Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
189 DTX** Win 15-1 1241.04 Ignored Sep 8th East New England Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
148 WHUF* Win 15-10 1333.79 Sep 8th East New England Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
150 Scarecrow** Win 15-5 1467.4 Ignored Sep 8th East New England Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
73 Chaotic Good** Win 15-5 1865.65 Ignored Sep 9th East New England Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
33 League of Shadows Win 15-9 2051.43 Sep 9th East New England Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
22 XIST Win 15-10 2071.65 Sep 22nd Northeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
50 Grand Army Win 14-5 1969.68 Sep 22nd Northeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
58 Happy Valley** Win 15-3 1911.42 Ignored Sep 22nd Northeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
66 The Feminists** Win 13-4 1883.56 Ignored Sep 22nd Northeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
22 XIST Win 15-11 1999.21 Sep 23rd Northeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
31 Metro North Win 15-11 1937.48 Sep 23rd Northeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
33 League of Shadows Win 14-10 1934.66 Sep 23rd Northeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
38 Columbus Cocktails Win 15-11 1881.46 Oct 18th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
4 BFG Win 12-10 2218.02 Oct 18th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
11 Slow White Win 15-10 2280.9 Oct 18th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
12 Mischief Win 15-9 2299.84 Oct 19th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
2 Seattle Mixtape Loss 12-13 1896.63 Oct 20th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)