#27 Weird (27-5)

avg: 1577.85  •  sd: 56.75  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
213 Heartbreakers** Win 13-2 1098.98 Ignored Jul 7th Huckfest 2018
175 Possum** Win 13-5 1332.49 Ignored Jul 7th Huckfest 2018
103 Trash Pandas Win 12-11 1230.22 Jul 7th Huckfest 2018
84 'Shine Win 5-2 1821.46 Jul 7th Huckfest 2018
201 Mississippi Blues** Win 13-5 1169.82 Ignored Jul 8th Huckfest 2018
82 Method Win 12-9 1577.98 Jul 8th Huckfest 2018
84 'Shine Win 11-7 1688.36 Jul 8th Huckfest 2018
90 Mutiny Win 10-8 1428.35 Jul 21st Club Terminus 2018
151 LoveShack Win 11-6 1403.13 Jul 21st Club Terminus 2018
56 Murmur Win 12-7 1841.68 Jul 22nd Club Terminus 2018
54 JLP Loss 9-10 1200.88 Jul 22nd Club Terminus 2018
41 Storm Win 9-7 1758.5 Jul 22nd Club Terminus 2018
38 Columbus Cocktails Win 13-8 1996.45 Jul 22nd Club Terminus 2018
66 The Feminists Win 12-10 1521.68 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
32 UNION Win 12-11 1665.8 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
5 Space Heater Loss 7-11 1496.05 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
24 Rally Loss 7-11 1144.22 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
59 Distelfink Win 11-8 1666.32 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
73 Chaotic Good Win 9-7 1544.99 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
22 XIST Loss 9-13 1199.48 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
90 Mutiny Win 13-9 1584.25 Sep 8th Florida Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
105 Jackpot Win 13-7 1643.23 Sep 8th Florida Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
225 Big Bend** Win 13-2 951.82 Ignored Sep 8th Florida Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
- Bold City** Win 13-2 1175.94 Ignored Sep 8th Florida Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
244 Mixchief** Win 13-2 577.14 Ignored Sep 9th Florida Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
105 Jackpot Win 12-9 1431.06 Sep 9th Florida Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
60 NC Galaxy Win 12-7 1818.06 Sep 22nd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
82 Method Win 12-3 1832.62 Sep 22nd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
98 Cahoots Win 13-4 1722.01 Sep 22nd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
54 JLP Win 11-10 1450.88 Sep 23rd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
41 Storm Win 11-6 2025.86 Sep 23rd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
15 Toro Loss 9-15 1245.16 Sep 23rd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)