#254 Robotic Snakes (4-19)

avg: 404.08  •  sd: 63.22  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
122 Pandamonium** Loss 3-13 481.72 Ignored Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
253 LudICRous Win 9-6 830.41 Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
139 Tequila Mockingbird Loss 5-11 385.39 Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
244 Madison United Mixed Ultimate Win 7-5 789.92 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
157 Hellbenders Loss 3-11 310.56 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
192 Jabba Loss 4-9 108.36 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
209 Pushovers-B Loss 1-11 59.42 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
84 Ouzel** Loss 6-15 634.78 Ignored Jul 20th The Royal Experience 2019
65 7 Sins** Loss 3-15 733.62 Ignored Jul 20th The Royal Experience 2019
157 Hellbenders Win 11-10 1035.56 Jul 20th The Royal Experience 2019
84 Ouzel** Loss 3-15 634.78 Ignored Jul 21st The Royal Experience 2019
157 Hellbenders Loss 3-15 310.56 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 2019
123 Impact** Loss 4-15 477.49 Ignored Jul 21st The Royal Experience 2019
141 Mad Udderburn Loss 6-13 368.38 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
192 Jabba Loss 11-13 479.52 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
209 Pushovers-B Loss 8-11 293.82 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
289 Taco Cat Win 13-6 567.09 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
93 PanIC** Loss 4-13 584.69 Ignored Sep 7th West Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
65 7 Sins** Loss 4-13 733.62 Ignored Sep 7th West Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
253 LudICRous Loss 9-13 -6.72 Sep 7th West Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
19 The Chad Larson Experience** Loss 0-13 1159.72 Ignored Sep 7th West Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
157 Hellbenders Loss 7-13 353.03 Sep 8th West Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
123 Impact** Loss 2-13 477.49 Ignored Sep 8th West Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)