#81 Pegasus (13-18)

avg: 1237.29  •  sd: 60.39  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
19 Bucket Loss 8-13 1209.07 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
17 Polar Bears Loss 6-13 1139.68 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
39 Minnesota Star Power Loss 10-11 1374.53 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
89 Sweet Action Loss 7-12 648.52 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
93 Thoroughbred Loss 7-11 689.65 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
80 Garbage Loss 6-12 660.77 Aug 4th Kleinman Eruption 2018
121 Igneous Ultimate Loss 9-10 895.64 Aug 4th Kleinman Eruption 2018
168 Oh My! Win 10-6 1265.8 Aug 4th Kleinman Eruption 2018
23 Lights Out Loss 8-13 1118.3 Aug 4th Kleinman Eruption 2018
80 Garbage Loss 8-11 874.47 Aug 5th Kleinman Eruption 2018
142 Fable Win 13-11 1120.45 Aug 5th Kleinman Eruption 2018
46 The Administrators Win 13-12 1520.8 Aug 5th Kleinman Eruption 2018
55 American Barbecue Loss 10-11 1199.28 Aug 18th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
61 Donuts Win 11-8 1657.73 Aug 18th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
35 Classy Loss 10-13 1185.57 Aug 18th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
6 Snake Country Loss 9-13 1524.41 Aug 18th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
118 Risky Business Loss 10-12 793.28 Aug 19th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
39 Minnesota Star Power Loss 8-13 1003.37 Aug 19th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
89 Sweet Action Win 10-6 1665.19 Aug 19th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
- iNUT Win 12-5 1260.54 Sep 8th Washington Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
13 Birdfruit Loss 7-13 1221.76 Sep 8th Washington Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
96 Pheathers and Phurr Win 13-7 1697.49 Sep 8th Washington Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
142 Fable Win 13-5 1491.61 Sep 8th Washington Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
80 Garbage Win 12-5 1840.08 Sep 9th Washington Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
143 Bulleit Train Win 12-7 1412.11 Sep 9th Washington Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
75 Happy Hour Loss 9-11 1008.37 Sep 22nd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
123 Image.Is.Everything. Win 11-9 1262.49 Sep 22nd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
4 BFG** Loss 4-13 1379.89 Ignored Sep 22nd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
46 The Administrators Loss 4-13 795.8 Sep 22nd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
44 Bozos Win 10-9 1585.67 Sep 23rd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
106 Choco Ghost House Win 13-9 1499.31 Sep 23rd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)