#173 Fake Newport News (11-15)

avg: 741.57  •  sd: 74.95  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
207 District Cocktails Win 11-7 1002.69 Jul 14th Battle for the Beltway 2018
144 Rat City Loss 6-13 290.57 Jul 14th Battle for the Beltway 2018
179 LORD Loss 9-10 556.22 Jul 14th Battle for the Beltway 2018
- Swing Vote Win 11-8 559.73 Jul 14th Battle for the Beltway 2018
207 District Cocktails Loss 5-12 -64.21 Jul 15th Battle for the Beltway 2018
87 Sparkle Ponies Loss 3-13 577.43 Jul 15th Battle for the Beltway 2018
- Swing Vote Win 11-7 661.02 Jul 15th Battle for the Beltway 2018
156 Heavy Flow Loss 12-13 714.56 Jul 21st SunRise Open 2018
132 HVAC Loss 11-12 837.53 Jul 21st SunRise Open 2018
224 Stormborn Win 11-6 904.14 Jul 21st SunRise Open 2018
207 District Cocktails Win 12-9 881.16 Jul 22nd SunRise Open 2018
243 SPACE INVADERS Win 15-7 620.63 Jul 22nd SunRise Open 2018
126 American Hyperbole Loss 7-10 592.59 Sep 8th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
207 District Cocktails Win 12-9 881.16 Sep 8th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
144 Rat City Loss 7-13 333.04 Sep 8th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
5 Space Heater** Loss 4-13 1362.94 Ignored Sep 8th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
101 Tyrannis Win 9-7 1391.73 Sep 9th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
126 American Hyperbole Win 13-11 1211.1 Sep 9th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
144 Rat City Win 11-9 1139.77 Sep 9th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
192 RnB Win 11-7 1085.67 Sep 9th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
79 8 Bit Heroes Loss 13-15 1029.04 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
26 Alloy** Loss 4-13 989.35 Ignored Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
59 Distelfink Loss 6-13 700.71 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
87 Sparkle Ponies Loss 6-15 577.43 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
113 The Bandits Loss 5-13 443.49 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
117 The Process Loss 0-9 432.39 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)