#135 Blitzkrieg (15-14)

avg: 957.73  •  sd: 73.62  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
233 ALTimate Brews Win 13-9 706.93 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2018
229 Pushovers-C Win 13-6 918.27 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2018
111 panIC Win 11-9 1315.7 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2018
25 The Chad Larson Experience Loss 6-13 1000.75 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2018
160 Mad Udderburn Win 9-5 1331.23 Jul 1st Spirit of the Plains 2018
93 Thoroughbred Loss 6-13 556.54 Jul 1st Spirit of the Plains 2018
111 panIC Loss 7-9 787.16 Jul 1st Spirit of the Plains 2018
248 Mixed on the Rock** Win 13-1 393.91 Ignored Jul 21st The Royal Experience 18
227 Mixfits Win 11-10 458.44 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 18
128 Boomtown Win 12-10 1215.86 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 18
191 Coalition Ultimate Win 13-11 848.52 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 18
234 rubber duck ultimate. Win 13-6 856.14 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 18
94 Tex Mix Loss 6-15 553.03 Jul 22nd The Royal Experience 18
248 Mixed on the Rock** Win 13-1 393.91 Ignored Aug 11th Hootie on the Hill 2018
215 Free Ride Win 13-8 988.17 Aug 11th Hootie on the Hill 2018
130 Impact Win 13-11 1197.67 Aug 11th Hootie on the Hill 2018
94 Tex Mix Loss 6-13 553.03 Aug 11th Hootie on the Hill 2018
159 Hellbenders Win 15-6 1410.74 Aug 12th Hootie on the Hill 2018
115 STAX Loss 12-14 816.47 Aug 12th Hootie on the Hill 2018
130 Impact Win 13-8 1464.99 Sep 15th West Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
93 Thoroughbred Win 13-9 1575.11 Sep 15th West Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
25 The Chad Larson Experience Loss 8-13 1104.59 Sep 15th West Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
70 Chalice Loss 13-15 1062.45 Sep 16th West Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
25 The Chad Larson Experience** Loss 6-15 1000.75 Ignored Sep 16th West Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
34 Woodwork Loss 7-13 957.85 Sep 22nd North Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
160 Mad Udderburn Loss 9-10 677.17 Sep 22nd North Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
25 The Chad Larson Experience Loss 11-13 1371.91 Sep 22nd North Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
112 Mojo Jojo Loss 5-13 462.39 Sep 23rd North Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
159 Hellbenders Loss 10-13 482.6 Sep 23rd North Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)