#75 Auburn HeyDay (22-13)

avg: 1227.49  •  sd: 58.94  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
252 Mixchief** Win 13-3 956.35 Ignored Jun 15th ATL Classic 2019
80 Trash Pandas Loss 10-12 959.97 Jun 15th ATL Classic 2019
130 m'kay Ultimate Loss 10-11 860.41 Jun 15th ATL Classic 2019
158 OutKast Loss 10-11 714.42 Jun 15th ATL Classic 2019
251 Big Bend** Win 13-3 963.36 Ignored Jun 16th ATL Classic 2019
231 Mississippi Blues** Win 13-4 1055.34 Ignored Jun 16th ATL Classic 2019
158 OutKast Win 13-2 1439.42 Jun 16th ATL Classic 2019
84 sKNO cone Loss 11-13 936.57 Jul 6th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
213 Memphis Hustle & Flow Win 13-6 1180.86 Jul 6th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
170 Magic City Mayhem Win 13-5 1363.15 Jul 6th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
284 Mixed on the Rock** Win 13-2 680.36 Ignored Jul 6th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
47 Huntsville Outlaws Win 15-7 2041.37 Jul 7th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
35 'Shine Win 15-12 1826.39 Jul 7th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
70 Old #7 Win 15-12 1535 Jul 7th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
81 Bexar Win 13-10 1522.72 Aug 10th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
160 APEX Win 13-9 1247.18 Aug 10th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
149 Rowdy Win 11-9 1119.75 Aug 10th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
54 Malice in Wonderland Loss 10-12 1103.9 Aug 10th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
81 Bexar Loss 9-13 776.01 Aug 11th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
80 Trash Pandas Loss 10-14 799.39 Aug 11th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
132 Liquid Hustle Win 15-14 1092.47 Aug 11th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
47 Huntsville Outlaws Loss 8-13 945.21 Sep 7th Gulf Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
213 Memphis Hustle & Flow** Win 12-4 1180.86 Ignored Sep 7th Gulf Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
170 Magic City Mayhem Win 11-10 888.15 Sep 7th Gulf Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
78 Memphis STAX Loss 6-9 788.77 Sep 7th Gulf Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
231 Mississippi Blues Win 11-6 1002.03 Sep 8th Gulf Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
213 Memphis Hustle & Flow** Win 10-4 1180.86 Ignored Sep 8th Gulf Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
78 Memphis STAX Loss 8-13 711.18 Sep 8th Gulf Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
170 Magic City Mayhem Win 12-8 1204.3 Sep 8th Gulf Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
54 Malice in Wonderland Win 13-3 1942.03 Sep 21st Southeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
32 Storm Loss 10-12 1323.2 Sep 21st Southeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
80 Trash Pandas Win 13-7 1755.62 Sep 21st Southeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
83 FlyTrap Win 13-10 1496.44 Sep 21st Southeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
43 Murmur Loss 10-13 1133.84 Sep 22nd Southeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
20 Weird Loss 10-11 1556.45 Sep 22nd Southeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)