#46 The Administrators (23-8)

avg: 1395.8  •  sd: 61.15  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
75 Happy Hour Win 12-8 1698.73 Jul 7th Rose City Rumble 2
121 Igneous Ultimate Win 12-9 1366.01 Jul 7th Rose City Rumble 2
174 Breakers Mark** Win 13-5 1335.4 Ignored Jul 7th Rose City Rumble 2
168 Oh My!** Win 14-5 1369.64 Ignored Jul 7th Rose City Rumble 2
75 Happy Hour Win 13-9 1676.14 Aug 4th Kleinman Eruption 2018
143 Bulleit Train Win 10-5 1465.49 Aug 4th Kleinman Eruption 2018
85 Platypi Win 12-7 1711.18 Aug 4th Kleinman Eruption 2018
142 Fable Win 12-11 1016.61 Aug 4th Kleinman Eruption 2018
121 Igneous Ultimate Win 12-11 1145.64 Aug 5th Kleinman Eruption 2018
85 Platypi Win 15-9 1706.16 Aug 5th Kleinman Eruption 2018
81 Pegasus Loss 12-13 1112.29 Aug 5th Kleinman Eruption 2018
43 Flight Club Win 13-12 1598.13 Aug 18th Ski Town Classic 2018
120 Mimosas Win 12-8 1464.11 Aug 18th Ski Town Classic 2018
162 Fear and Loathing Win 13-6 1397.89 Aug 18th Ski Town Classic 2018
48 Rubix Loss 5-13 778.83 Aug 18th Ski Town Classic 2018
52 Instant Karma Loss 11-13 1116.21 Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2018
74 Alchemy Loss 9-13 846.63 Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2018
44 Bozos Loss 9-12 1115.3 Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2018
174 Breakers Mark Win 13-6 1335.4 Sep 8th Oregon Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
106 Choco Ghost House Loss 10-11 955.74 Sep 8th Oregon Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
- Midnight Whiskey** Win 13-5 1055.51 Ignored Sep 8th Oregon Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
- Eugene Skyfall** Win 13-4 694 Ignored Sep 8th Oregon Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
121 Igneous Ultimate Win 13-9 1439.21 Sep 9th Oregon Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
106 Choco Ghost House Win 13-4 1680.74 Sep 9th Oregon Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
168 Oh My!** Win 13-4 1369.64 Ignored Sep 9th Oregon Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
80 Garbage Win 12-6 1819.39 Sep 22nd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
81 Pegasus Win 13-4 1837.29 Sep 22nd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
96 Pheathers and Phurr Win 10-9 1264.96 Sep 22nd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
2 Seattle Mixtape** Loss 5-13 1421.63 Ignored Sep 22nd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
13 Birdfruit Loss 8-13 1283.13 Sep 23rd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
23 Lights Out Win 11-9 1863.67 Sep 23rd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)