#146 Prion (11-15)

avg: 885.02  •  sd: 80.4  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
70 Chalice Loss 10-13 948.49 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2018
25 The Chad Larson Experience** Loss 4-13 1000.75 Ignored Aug 4th Heavyweights 2018
104 Shakedown Win 13-6 1700.57 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2018
112 Mojo Jojo Loss 8-12 621.23 Aug 5th Heavyweights 2018
184 Mousetrap Win 10-7 1047.74 Aug 5th Heavyweights 2018
172 Los Heros Loss 8-11 379.17 Aug 5th Heavyweights 2018
137 ELevate Loss 6-11 395.17 Aug 5th Heavyweights 2018
233 ALTimate Brews Win 13-5 888.36 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
211 Stackcats Win 10-9 643.98 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
145 Pandamonium Loss 11-12 760.38 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
217 Mastodon Win 13-5 1083.04 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
185 Boomtown Pandas Loss 12-13 525.51 Aug 19th Cooler Classic 30
137 ELevate Loss 7-14 358.98 Aug 19th Cooler Classic 30
160 Mad Udderburn Win 14-11 1115.51 Aug 19th Cooler Classic 30
211 Stackcats Win 13-5 1118.98 Sep 8th Central Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
68 Nothing's Great Again Loss 7-9 1001.97 Sep 8th Central Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
77 Tequila Mockingbird Loss 6-12 673.58 Sep 8th Central Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
137 ELevate Win 10-8 1204.53 Sep 8th Central Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
155 Liquid Hustle Win 15-11 1222.99 Sep 9th Central Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
147 Goose Lee Win 10-7 1273.27 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mixed Regional Championship 2018
88 Toast Loss 10-13 848.65 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mixed Regional Championship 2018
68 Nothing's Great Again Loss 5-13 681.31 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mixed Regional Championship 2018
104 Shakedown Win 12-11 1225.57 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mixed Regional Championship 2018
86 Commitment Issues Loss 10-14 791.42 Sep 23rd Great Lakes Mixed Regional Championship 2018
77 Tequila Mockingbird Loss 8-12 811.74 Sep 23rd Great Lakes Mixed Regional Championship 2018
134 Petey's Pirates Loss 11-14 644.41 Sep 23rd Great Lakes Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)