#147 Los Heros (15-12)

avg: 873.22  •  sd: 65.04  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
156 EMU Win 11-8 1211.61 Jul 6th Motown Throwdown 2019
175 Prion Win 9-7 1020.66 Jul 6th Motown Throwdown 2019
254 Derby City Thunder Win 13-11 558.18 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2019
217 Stackcats Loss 7-10 178.85 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2019
196 Petey's Scallywags Win 11-9 895.33 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2019
182 Rocket LawnChair Win 7-4 1209.88 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2019
225 Boomtown Pandas Win 13-7 1077.05 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
227 Midwestern Mediocrity Win 13-7 1029.56 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
137 Mad Udderburn Loss 9-13 508.99 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
175 Prion Win 13-9 1159.89 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
107 Shakedown Loss 8-12 651.7 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
185 Pixel Win 12-9 1033.57 Aug 24th Indy Invite Club 2019
196 Petey's Scallywags Win 11-4 1246.12 Aug 24th Indy Invite Club 2019
132 Liquid Hustle Loss 10-11 842.47 Aug 24th Indy Invite Club 2019
264 SlipStream Win 15-8 833.72 Aug 25th Indy Invite Club 2019
74 Petey's Pirates Loss 12-14 1008.93 Aug 25th Indy Invite Club 2019
172 Thunderpants the Magic Dragon Win 12-9 1103.27 Aug 25th Indy Invite Club 2019
156 EMU Win 15-8 1410.81 Sep 7th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
107 Shakedown Loss 12-15 792.37 Sep 7th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
132 Liquid Hustle Win 13-9 1386.03 Sep 7th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
168 ELevate Win 15-8 1344.96 Sep 8th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
121 Stripes Loss 10-15 589.27 Sep 8th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
132 Liquid Hustle Loss 11-15 586.3 Sep 8th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
156 EMU Loss 9-12 500.64 Sep 21st Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
24 Steamboat** Loss 5-13 1050.58 Ignored Sep 21st Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
122 Nothing's Great Again Loss 6-13 435.85 Sep 21st Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
166 Moonshine Loss 10-15 350.06 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)