#65 Family Style (14-15)

avg: 1287.22  •  sd: 63.85  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
61 Donuts Loss 8-10 1029.46 Jul 21st Revolution 2018
62 Long Beach Legacy Win 7-6 1416.8 Jul 21st Revolution 2018
170 Spoiler Alert Win 9-4 1358.52 Jul 21st Revolution 2018
37 BW Ultimate Win 12-11 1625.56 Jul 22nd Revolution 2018
85 Platypi Win 10-8 1453.34 Jul 22nd Revolution 2018
12 Mischief Loss 3-14 1184.35 Jul 22nd Revolution 2018
7 Blackbird** Loss 3-15 1291.68 Ignored Jul 22nd Revolution 2018
62 Long Beach Legacy Loss 5-7 963.65 Jul 22nd Revolution 2018
167 Wildstyle Win 13-6 1383.29 Aug 18th Ski Town Classic 2018
44 Bozos Loss 6-10 964.51 Aug 18th Ski Town Classic 2018
67 Firefly Loss 11-12 1157.6 Aug 18th Ski Town Classic 2018
138 The Strangers Win 13-5 1539.56 Aug 18th Ski Town Classic 2018
43 Flight Club Loss 9-13 1054.56 Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2018
69 Mental Toss Flycoons Win 13-6 1879.48 Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2018
120 Mimosas Win 11-10 1147.95 Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2018
- ¡Fiesta! Win 11-6 1348.29 Sep 8th So Cal Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
62 Long Beach Legacy Win 11-9 1541 Sep 8th So Cal Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
71 Robot Win 11-3 1874.9 Sep 8th So Cal Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
200 Rogue** Win 11-3 1172.74 Ignored Sep 8th So Cal Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
52 Instant Karma Loss 10-11 1220.05 Sep 9th So Cal Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
29 7 Figures Win 9-5 2089.44 Sep 9th So Cal Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
110 California Burrito Win 8-4 1631.89 Sep 9th So Cal Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
47 ROBOS Loss 3-4 1262.34 Sep 9th So Cal Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
51 Cutthroat Loss 14-15 1232.69 Sep 22nd Southwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
35 Classy Loss 6-13 913.71 Sep 22nd Southwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
85 Platypi Loss 4-13 590.67 Sep 22nd Southwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
52 Instant Karma Loss 10-13 1016.91 Sep 23rd Southwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
51 Cutthroat Loss 11-13 1128.85 Sep 23rd Southwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
48 Rubix Loss 10-12 1140.71 Sep 23rd Southwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)