#10 shame. (20-10)

avg: 1844.73  •  sd: 81.1  •  top 16/20: 56.5%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
51 Cutthroat Win 13-9 1776.25 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
28 Mesteño Loss 9-10 1437.54 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
14 Lochsa Loss 10-12 1525.59 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
89 Sweet Action Win 13-10 1497.18 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
69 Mental Toss Flycoons Win 15-8 1844.29 Jun 17th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
8 Love Tractor Loss 10-13 1551.02 Jun 17th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
31 Metro North Win 13-6 2156.32 Jul 7th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
12 Mischief Win 13-8 2280.51 Jul 7th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
13 Birdfruit Win 13-12 1904.29 Jul 7th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
29 7 Figures Win 12-6 2139.69 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
7 Blackbird Win 13-6 2491.68 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
8 Love Tractor Loss 10-12 1641.04 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
28 Mesteño Win 13-9 1981.1 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
7 Blackbird Loss 11-13 1662.84 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
16 NOISE Loss 11-12 1618.18 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
33 League of Shadows Win 11-7 2002.85 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
25 The Chad Larson Experience Loss 10-13 1272.61 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
76 All Jeeps, All Night Win 13-1 1853.36 Sep 22nd South Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
94 Tex Mix Win 13-6 1753.03 Sep 22nd South Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
64 Sellout Win 13-10 1616.39 Sep 22nd South Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
40 Five One Two Win 15-7 2085.29 Sep 23rd South Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
21 Public Enemy Win 15-10 2129.25 Sep 23rd South Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
8 Love Tractor Win 15-12 2179.65 Sep 23rd South Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
22 XIST Win 15-7 2218.05 Oct 18th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
3 Drag'n Thrust Loss 12-13 1893.23 Oct 18th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
17 Polar Bears Loss 11-15 1358.52 Oct 18th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
15 Toro Win 13-12 1885.64 Oct 19th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
38 Columbus Cocktails Win 15-9 2015.78 Oct 19th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
12 Mischief Loss 8-15 1219.55 Oct 19th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
12 Mischief Win 15-11 2165.52 Oct 20th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)