#45 Northern Comfort (26-7)

avg: 1435.86  •  sd: 54.24  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
129 Moonshine Win 11-4 1571.57 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2018
147 Goose Lee Win 11-4 1483.61 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2018
32 UNION Loss 7-11 1073.91 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2018
223 Petey's Scallywags** Win 11-2 960.69 Ignored Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2018
155 Liquid Hustle Win 10-6 1337.99 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2018
88 Toast Loss 9-15 661.31 Jul 8th Motown Throwdown 2018
38 Columbus Cocktails Win 15-14 1625.3 Jul 8th Motown Throwdown 2018
77 Tequila Mockingbird Win 13-11 1481.74 Jul 8th Motown Throwdown 2018
34 Woodwork Loss 9-13 1096.81 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2018
70 Chalice Win 8-6 1577.13 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2018
104 Shakedown Win 13-8 1596.73 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2018
112 Mojo Jojo Win 13-4 1662.39 Aug 5th Heavyweights 2018
70 Chalice Win 13-7 1834.16 Aug 5th Heavyweights 2018
172 Los Heros** Win 13-4 1344.78 Ignored Aug 5th Heavyweights 2018
25 The Chad Larson Experience Loss 9-13 1182.19 Aug 5th Heavyweights 2018
72 Bird Win 12-9 1611.68 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
77 Tequila Mockingbird Win 13-10 1581.04 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
93 Thoroughbred Win 13-9 1575.11 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
112 Mojo Jojo Win 15-14 1187.39 Aug 19th Cooler Classic 30
34 Woodwork Loss 10-15 1061.78 Aug 19th Cooler Classic 30
88 Toast Win 15-7 1776.79 Aug 19th Cooler Classic 30
184 Mousetrap Win 13-6 1258.08 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
- TMI Win 13-6 1445.02 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
185 Boomtown Pandas** Win 13-1 1250.51 Ignored Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
160 Mad Udderburn Win 13-9 1220.74 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
39 Minnesota Star Power Win 13-12 1624.53 Sep 9th Northwest Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
72 Bird Win 13-10 1594.45 Sep 9th Northwest Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
160 Mad Udderburn Win 12-6 1381.48 Sep 22nd North Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
16 NOISE Loss 9-12 1397.82 Sep 22nd North Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
93 Thoroughbred Win 12-7 1677.06 Sep 22nd North Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
111 panIC Win 10-6 1562.65 Sep 22nd North Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
34 Woodwork Win 12-8 1956.53 Sep 23rd North Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
70 Chalice Loss 8-13 780.47 Sep 23rd North Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)