#8 Love Tractor (23-7)

avg: 1879.16  •  sd: 64.73  •  top 16/20: 95.5%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
40 Five One Two Loss 10-11 1360.29 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
44 Bozos Win 13-6 2060.67 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
69 Mental Toss Flycoons Win 13-9 1698.05 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
109 Superstition Win 13-6 1672.46 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
28 Mesteño Win 15-12 1863.03 Jun 17th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
14 Lochsa Loss 9-14 1289.85 Jun 17th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
10 shame. Win 13-10 2172.87 Jun 17th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
29 7 Figures Win 13-7 2117.91 Jul 7th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
21 Public Enemy Win 13-7 2233.18 Jul 7th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
7 Blackbird Win 13-9 2310.24 Jul 7th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
15 Toro Win 12-11 1885.64 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
3 Drag'n Thrust Win 11-10 2143.23 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
10 shame. Win 12-10 2082.85 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
1 AMP Loss 9-15 1638.4 Aug 3rd 2018 US Open Club Championships
16 NOISE Loss 11-14 1429.84 Aug 3rd 2018 US Open Club Championships
36 Steamboat Win 15-14 1630.39 Aug 4th 2018 US Open Club Championships
11 Slow White Loss 10-13 1499.16 Aug 4th 2018 US Open Club Championships
2 Seattle Mixtape Loss 8-11 1656.02 Aug 4th 2018 US Open Club Championships
16 NOISE Win 15-8 2307.99 Aug 5th 2018 US Open Club Championships
14 Lochsa Win 10-8 2026.38 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
25 The Chad Larson Experience Win 12-11 1725.75 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
36 Steamboat Win 13-10 1833.54 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
17 Polar Bears Win 13-7 2297.22 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
7 Blackbird Win 13-11 2120.52 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
116 Moontower** Win 13-2 1636.05 Ignored Sep 22nd South Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
43 Flight Club Win 13-8 1969.29 Sep 22nd South Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
97 tHUMP** Win 13-1 1739.88 Ignored Sep 22nd South Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
49 Cosa Nostra Win 15-9 1887.27 Sep 23rd South Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
28 Mesteño Win 15-9 2078.02 Sep 23rd South Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
10 shame. Loss 12-15 1544.23 Sep 23rd South Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)