#44 Bozos (20-12)

avg: 1460.67  •  sd: 65.47  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
40 Five One Two Win 13-7 2042.82 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
69 Mental Toss Flycoons Loss 9-10 1154.48 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
109 Superstition Win 9-6 1491.02 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
8 Love Tractor Loss 6-13 1279.16 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
51 Cutthroat Win 15-13 1571.87 Jun 17th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
89 Sweet Action Win 14-9 1642.9 Jun 17th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
32 UNION Loss 8-10 1278.14 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
35 Classy Loss 10-11 1388.71 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
89 Sweet Action Win 12-9 1514.4 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
19 Bucket Loss 9-11 1456.02 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
49 Cosa Nostra Loss 8-10 1109.12 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
77 Tequila Mockingbird Loss 9-11 1003.69 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
167 Wildstyle** Win 13-3 1383.29 Ignored Aug 18th Ski Town Classic 2018
138 The Strangers Win 13-6 1539.56 Aug 18th Ski Town Classic 2018
67 Firefly Win 13-2 1882.6 Aug 18th Ski Town Classic 2018
65 Family Style Win 10-6 1783.38 Aug 18th Ski Town Classic 2018
46 The Administrators Win 12-9 1741.17 Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2018
47 ROBOS Win 13-5 1987.34 Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2018
48 Rubix Win 13-9 1797.4 Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2018
- Hot Tub Magic** Win 13-5 1381.87 Ignored Sep 8th Big Sky Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
- Dixon Melons** Win 13-4 1108.84 Ignored Sep 8th Big Sky Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
14 Lochsa Loss 10-13 1435.57 Sep 8th Big Sky Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
69 Mental Toss Flycoons Loss 8-9 1154.48 Sep 8th Big Sky Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
199 Wasatch Sasquatch** Win 13-1 1178.35 Ignored Sep 9th Big Sky Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
- Hot Tub Magic Win 13-7 1339.41 Sep 9th Big Sky Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
69 Mental Toss Flycoons Win 12-5 1879.48 Sep 9th Big Sky Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
121 Igneous Ultimate Win 11-4 1620.64 Sep 22nd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
106 Choco Ghost House Win 13-5 1680.74 Sep 22nd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
13 Birdfruit Loss 7-13 1221.76 Sep 22nd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
69 Mental Toss Flycoons Loss 7-12 758.97 Sep 22nd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
75 Happy Hour Win 10-9 1382.58 Sep 23rd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
81 Pegasus Loss 9-10 1112.29 Sep 23rd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)