#205 Fifth Element (6-18)

avg: 543.99  •  sd: 69.44  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
122 Huntsville Outlaws Loss 9-11 767.51 Jul 21st Bourbon Bash 2018
222 I-79 Win 11-4 984.34 Jul 21st Bourbon Bash 2018
134 Petey's Pirates Loss 4-10 357.75 Jul 21st Bourbon Bash 2018
- Spidermonkeys** Win 11-1 369.05 Ignored Jul 21st Bourbon Bash 2018
246 Taco Cat** Win 11-4 503.83 Ignored Jul 21st Bourbon Bash 2018
122 Huntsville Outlaws Loss 6-9 598.16 Jul 22nd Bourbon Bash 2018
134 Petey's Pirates Loss 5-11 357.75 Jul 22nd Bourbon Bash 2018
198 Second Wind Win 9-5 1110.31 Jul 22nd Bourbon Bash 2018
90 Mutiny Loss 7-13 608.15 Aug 11th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
84 'Shine Loss 9-11 972.26 Aug 11th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
183 BRUH Loss 9-13 248.49 Aug 11th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
78 Malice in Wonderland** Loss 4-11 643.54 Ignored Aug 11th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
129 Moonshine Loss 12-13 846.57 Aug 12th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
219 Carolina Reign Win 11-8 791.08 Aug 12th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
192 RnB Loss 7-9 339.44 Aug 12th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
155 Liquid Hustle Loss 4-9 241.83 Aug 12th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
125 Hybrid Loss 9-11 758.4 Sep 15th East Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
208 Bonfire Loss 7-10 145.03 Sep 15th East Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
86 Commitment Issues** Loss 4-13 590.13 Ignored Sep 15th East Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
198 Second Wind Loss 6-13 -18.75 Sep 15th East Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
196 Thunderpants the Magic Dragon Win 13-8 1090.62 Sep 16th East Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
171 North Coast Loss 2-13 150.72 Sep 16th East Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
223 Petey's Scallywags Loss 8-9 235.69 Sep 16th East Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
140 Rocket LawnChair Loss 8-10 632.99 Sep 16th East Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)