#47 Huntsville Outlaws (25-2)

avg: 1473.42  •  sd: 76.05  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
268 Orbit** Win 13-1 898.04 Ignored Jun 15th ATL Classic 2019
164 BATL Cows** Win 13-3 1456.2 Ignored Jun 15th ATL Classic 2019
278 Baywatch** Win 13-1 815.25 Ignored Jun 15th ATL Classic 2019
235 Mississippi Blues** Win 13-0 1085.91 Ignored Jun 15th ATL Classic 2019
271 Bold City** Win 13-2 887.31 Ignored Jun 16th ATL Classic 2019
130 m'kay Ultimate Win 11-10 1157.15 Jun 16th ATL Classic 2019
74 Trash Pandas Win 12-6 1853.19 Jun 16th ATL Classic 2019
283 Craw Daddies** Win 13-5 757.01 Ignored Jul 6th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
284 Mixed on the Rock** Win 13-3 736.35 Ignored Jul 6th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
167 Possum Win 13-7 1393.63 Jul 6th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
105 Auburn HeyDay Loss 7-15 558.12 Jul 7th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
74 Trash Pandas Win 13-7 1831.41 Jul 7th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
113 sKNO cone Win 15-11 1492.83 Jul 7th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
89 FlyTrap Win 13-7 1758.24 Aug 10th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
155 Goose Lee Win 13-7 1470.74 Aug 10th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
175 Moonshine Win 13-6 1381.83 Aug 10th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
103 Tyrannis Win 12-8 1601.19 Aug 10th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
34 'Shine Loss 9-15 1072.97 Aug 11th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
55 Malice in Wonderland Win 13-11 1638.61 Aug 11th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
74 Trash Pandas Win 16-13 1563.13 Aug 11th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
105 Auburn HeyDay Win 13-8 1654.28 Sep 7th Gulf Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
70 Memphis STAX Win 10-9 1426.52 Sep 7th Gulf Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
219 Memphis Hustle & Flow** Win 11-4 1211.21 Ignored Sep 7th Gulf Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
235 Mississippi Blues** Win 13-2 1085.91 Ignored Sep 7th Gulf Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
174 Magic City Mayhem Win 13-7 1343.7 Sep 8th Gulf Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
174 Magic City Mayhem Win 13-6 1386.17 Sep 8th Gulf Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
70 Memphis STAX Win 10-6 1797.68 Sep 8th Gulf Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)