#215 Free Ride (5-18)

avg: 492.01  •  sd: 63.59  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
97 tHUMP** Loss 2-13 539.88 Ignored Jun 30th Texas Two Finger 2018
64 Sellout Loss 6-12 708.93 Jun 30th Texas Two Finger 2018
94 Tex Mix Loss 6-12 573.72 Jun 30th Texas Two Finger 2018
216 Mud Turtles Win 10-9 610.18 Jul 1st Texas Two Finger 2018
221 Chili Poppers Loss 8-11 31.04 Jul 1st Texas Two Finger 2018
178 Balloon Loss 7-12 167.79 Jul 1st Texas Two Finger 2018
128 Boomtown Loss 10-12 739.62 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 18
94 Tex Mix Loss 8-10 890.37 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 18
159 Hellbenders Loss 6-13 210.74 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 18
248 Mixed on the Rock** Win 15-5 393.91 Ignored Jul 22nd The Royal Experience 18
234 rubber duck ultimate. Win 15-9 771.62 Jul 22nd The Royal Experience 18
248 Mixed on the Rock** Win 13-5 393.91 Ignored Aug 11th Hootie on the Hill 2018
130 Impact Loss 9-12 623.46 Aug 11th Hootie on the Hill 2018
135 Blitzkrieg Loss 8-13 461.57 Aug 11th Hootie on the Hill 2018
94 Tex Mix** Loss 5-13 553.03 Ignored Aug 11th Hootie on the Hill 2018
240 Memphis Hustle & Flow Win 15-7 744.49 Aug 12th Hootie on the Hill 2018
128 Boomtown Loss 4-15 377.74 Aug 12th Hootie on the Hill 2018
34 Woodwork** Loss 5-13 915.38 Ignored Sep 15th West Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
159 Hellbenders Loss 7-13 253.21 Sep 15th West Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
70 Chalice** Loss 3-13 676.63 Ignored Sep 15th West Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
111 panIC Loss 4-13 466.49 Sep 15th West Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
130 Impact Loss 4-13 368.83 Sep 16th West Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
93 Thoroughbred** Loss 5-13 556.54 Ignored Sep 16th West Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)