#54 Malice in Wonderland (17-10)

avg: 1342.03  •  sd: 49.72  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
29 Alloy Loss 4-13 1022.61 Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
77 Ant Madness Win 12-11 1346.61 Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
32 Storm Loss 10-12 1323.2 Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
83 FlyTrap Win 13-8 1664.46 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
13 Toro Loss 6-13 1168.08 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
74 Petey's Pirates Win 13-11 1458.72 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
68 JLP Win 13-6 1845.59 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
81 Bexar Loss 11-12 1069.58 Aug 10th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
160 APEX Win 13-1 1428.62 Aug 10th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
75 Auburn HeyDay Win 12-10 1465.62 Aug 10th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
149 Rowdy Win 12-5 1470.54 Aug 10th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
47 Huntsville Outlaws Loss 11-13 1212.53 Aug 11th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
68 JLP Win 15-14 1370.59 Aug 11th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
18 Superlame Loss 14-15 1580.27 Aug 11th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
100 NC Galaxy Win 10-9 1241.4 Sep 7th North Carolina Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
171 Carolina Reaper Win 13-7 1318.92 Sep 7th North Carolina Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
18 Superlame Loss 8-11 1339.66 Sep 7th North Carolina Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
273 Rampage** Win 13-3 832.02 Ignored Sep 7th North Carolina Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
83 FlyTrap Win 13-10 1496.44 Sep 8th North Carolina Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
173 Piedmont United Win 13-4 1357.62 Sep 8th North Carolina Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
18 Superlame Win 13-12 1830.27 Sep 8th North Carolina Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
43 Murmur Loss 8-13 965.82 Sep 21st Southeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
75 Auburn HeyDay Loss 3-13 627.49 Sep 21st Southeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
80 Trash Pandas Win 13-9 1616.66 Sep 21st Southeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
32 Storm Loss 6-13 961.32 Sep 21st Southeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
47 Huntsville Outlaws Win 12-11 1566.37 Sep 22nd Southeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
68 JLP Win 11-9 1494.79 Sep 22nd Southeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)