#74 Trash Pandas (25-10)

avg: 1273.88  •  sd: 43.99  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
252 Big Bend** Win 13-4 1012.1 Ignored Jun 15th ATL Classic 2019
105 Auburn HeyDay Win 12-10 1396.24 Jun 15th ATL Classic 2019
130 m'kay Ultimate Win 12-11 1157.15 Jun 15th ATL Classic 2019
255 Mixchief** Win 13-1 1000.84 Ignored Jun 15th ATL Classic 2019
162 OutKast Win 13-5 1472.91 Jun 16th ATL Classic 2019
164 BATL Cows Win 12-6 1435.51 Jun 16th ATL Classic 2019
47 Huntsville Outlaws Loss 6-12 894.11 Jun 16th ATL Classic 2019
268 Orbit** Win 13-5 898.04 Ignored Jul 6th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
235 Mississippi Blues Win 13-7 1043.45 Jul 6th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
230 The Umbrella Win 13-8 1009.63 Jul 6th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
83 Old #7 Loss 12-13 1112.85 Jul 6th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
162 OutKast Win 12-10 1111.03 Jul 7th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
34 'Shine Loss 5-13 988.45 Jul 7th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
47 Huntsville Outlaws Loss 7-13 915.89 Jul 7th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
196 Petey's Scallywags Win 14-5 1300.71 Jul 20th Bourbon Bash 2019
277 Indiana Pterodactyl Attack** Win 15-5 823.31 Ignored Jul 20th Bourbon Bash 2019
182 Rocket LawnChair Win 15-7 1369.7 Jul 20th Bourbon Bash 2019
217 Pi+** Win 15-2 1215.05 Ignored Jul 20th Bourbon Bash 2019
140 Crucible Win 8-3 1583.45 Jul 21st Bourbon Bash 2019
266 I-79** Win 15-3 915.46 Ignored Jul 21st Bourbon Bash 2019
170 Thunderpants the Magic Dragon Win 14-9 1281.05 Jul 21st Bourbon Bash 2019
164 BATL Cows Win 13-7 1413.73 Aug 10th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
113 sKNO cone Win 13-9 1530.23 Aug 10th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
38 Superlame Loss 8-13 1062.36 Aug 10th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
99 Mutiny Loss 10-11 1045.48 Aug 10th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
105 Auburn HeyDay Win 14-10 1556.82 Aug 11th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
47 Huntsville Outlaws Loss 13-16 1184.17 Aug 11th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
99 Mutiny Win 15-6 1770.48 Aug 11th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
193 Hairy Otter Win 13-7 1262.71 Sep 7th East Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
62 JLP Loss 6-12 771.7 Sep 7th East Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
230 The Umbrella** Win 13-5 1113.47 Ignored Sep 7th East Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
40 Murmur Loss 10-11 1415.03 Sep 7th East Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
162 OutKast Win 13-6 1472.91 Sep 8th East Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
34 'Shine Loss 9-13 1169.88 Sep 8th East Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
113 sKNO cone Win 13-7 1669.2 Sep 8th East Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)