#103 Soft Boiled (19-12)

avg: 1110.75  •  sd: 56.9  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
193 Heavy Flow Win 12-8 1102.29 Jul 13th Philly Invite 2019
77 Ant Madness Loss 9-10 1096.61 Jul 13th Philly Invite 2019
87 Fleet Loss 9-13 745.14 Jul 13th Philly Invite 2019
15 Loco Loss 7-15 1156.06 Jul 13th Philly Invite 2019
87 Fleet Loss 11-12 1038.71 Jul 14th Philly Invite 2019
85 Eat Lightning Loss 8-11 799.5 Jul 14th Philly Invite 2019
267 Baltimore BENCH** Win 13-2 851.54 Ignored Aug 3rd Philly Open 2019
109 Birds Loss 10-11 953.47 Aug 3rd Philly Open 2019
181 Mashed Win 13-5 1316.47 Aug 3rd Philly Open 2019
153 Buffalo Lake Effect Win 14-9 1332.9 Aug 4th Philly Open 2019
174 Alt Stacks Win 8-5 1195.45 Aug 4th Philly Open 2019
179 Unlimited Swipes Win 13-9 1142.56 Aug 4th Philly Open 2019
124 Funk Win 13-8 1520.74 Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
293 Turnstyle** Win 13-1 414.57 Ignored Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
179 Unlimited Swipes Win 10-6 1220.15 Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
209 TBD Win 11-7 1068.5 Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
89 HVAC Win 10-9 1277.46 Aug 25th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
85 Eat Lightning Win 11-10 1290.11 Aug 25th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
115 Stoke Win 11-7 1527.01 Aug 25th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
123 PS Win 14-13 1157.36 Sep 7th Founders Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
92 The Bandits Loss 7-13 576.82 Sep 7th Founders Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
- Trenton Takers Win 14-12 825.06 Sep 7th Founders Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
131 Farm Show Loss 11-12 848.83 Sep 8th Founders Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
200 Left Turn Lane Win 12-10 871.54 Sep 8th Founders Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
123 PS Win 13-12 1157.36 Sep 8th Founders Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
92 The Bandits Win 13-8 1630.51 Sep 8th Founders Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
62 8 Bit Heroes Win 12-9 1633.43 Sep 21st Mid Atlantic Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
3 AMP** Loss 1-13 1428.15 Ignored Sep 21st Mid Atlantic Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
87 Fleet Loss 8-11 798.1 Sep 21st Mid Atlantic Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
90 Blowing Heat 3.0 Loss 11-13 909.53 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
55 Sparkle Ponies Loss 9-13 922.72 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)