#43 Murmur (19-7)

avg: 1461.98  •  sd: 55.26  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
149 Rowdy Win 13-8 1366.7 Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
100 NC Galaxy Win 13-3 1716.4 Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
15 Loco Loss 7-13 1198.53 Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
83 FlyTrap Win 13-7 1725.83 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
27 Rally Loss 8-13 1140.8 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
29 Alloy Win 12-11 1747.61 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
19 Columbus Cocktails Loss 12-13 1567.19 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
68 JLP Win 13-10 1573.73 Aug 10th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
155 Jackpot** Win 13-4 1456.9 Ignored Aug 10th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
132 Liquid Hustle Win 13-3 1567.47 Aug 10th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
35 'Shine Loss 6-13 925.9 Aug 10th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
154 Goose Lee** Win 15-6 1457.12 Ignored Aug 11th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
18 Superlame Loss 12-15 1404.78 Aug 11th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
68 JLP Win 15-10 1699.19 Aug 11th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
189 Hairy Otter** Win 13-3 1265.97 Ignored Sep 7th East Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
228 The Umbrella** Win 13-1 1070.04 Ignored Sep 7th East Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
80 Trash Pandas Win 11-10 1323.09 Sep 7th East Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
160 APEX** Win 13-4 1428.62 Ignored Sep 7th East Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
35 'Shine Win 11-10 1650.9 Sep 8th East Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
68 JLP Win 13-9 1664.15 Sep 8th East Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
78 Memphis STAX Win 13-12 1332.34 Sep 21st Southeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
83 FlyTrap Win 10-8 1430.96 Sep 21st Southeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
35 'Shine Loss 9-13 1107.33 Sep 21st Southeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
54 Malice in Wonderland Win 13-8 1838.19 Sep 21st Southeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
13 Toro Loss 8-13 1271.92 Sep 22nd Southeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
75 Auburn HeyDay Win 13-10 1555.64 Sep 22nd Southeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)