#15 Loco (27-6)

avg: 1756.06  •  sd: 51.88  •  top 16/20: 54.6%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
43 Murmur Win 13-7 2019.51 Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
100 NC Galaxy** Win 13-3 1716.4 Ignored Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
149 Rowdy** Win 13-4 1470.54 Ignored Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
19 Columbus Cocktails Loss 12-13 1567.19 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
29 Alloy Win 9-6 2041.18 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
74 Petey's Pirates Win 13-10 1558.03 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
13 Toro Loss 9-13 1349.51 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
193 Heavy Flow** Win 15-4 1261.14 Ignored Jul 13th Philly Invite 2019
87 Fleet Win 15-3 1763.71 Jul 13th Philly Invite 2019
103 Soft Boiled Win 15-7 1710.75 Jul 13th Philly Invite 2019
92 The Bandits** Win 15-3 1734.35 Ignored Jul 13th Philly Invite 2019
123 PS Win 15-7 1632.36 Jul 14th Philly Invite 2019
55 Sparkle Ponies Win 11-8 1706.9 Jul 14th Philly Invite 2019
49 League of Shadows Win 12-8 1878.86 Jul 14th Philly Invite 2019
19 Columbus Cocktails Win 15-14 1817.19 Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
4 Mischief Win 13-10 2284.35 Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
122 Nothing's Great Again** Win 15-4 1635.85 Ignored Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
13 Toro Loss 6-12 1188.77 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
4 Mischief Win 11-10 2081.21 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
11 Lochsa Loss 7-9 1518.75 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
131 Farm Show** Win 13-3 1573.83 Ignored Sep 7th Founders Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
144 Philly Twist Win 13-7 1449.94 Sep 7th Founders Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
200 Left Turn Lane** Win 13-3 1233.41 Ignored Sep 7th Founders Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
115 Stoke** Win 15-6 1660.12 Ignored Sep 7th Founders Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
90 Blowing Heat 3.0** Win 15-5 1738.37 Ignored Sep 8th Founders Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
29 Alloy Win 12-10 1860.74 Sep 8th Founders Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
110 Rat City** Win 13-4 1674.3 Ignored Sep 21st Mid Atlantic Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
115 Stoke Win 13-7 1617.65 Sep 21st Mid Atlantic Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
41 Jughandle Win 13-6 2063.84 Sep 21st Mid Atlantic Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
10 Space Heater Loss 7-15 1216.43 Sep 21st Mid Atlantic Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
29 Alloy Win 15-9 2138.1 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
27 Rally Win 14-8 2172.99 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
10 Space Heater Loss 10-12 1578.31 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)