#15 Loco (22-4)

avg: 1802.34  •  sd: 51.88  •  top 16/20: 54.6%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
111 NC Galaxy** Win 13-3 1724.84 Ignored Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
159 Rowdy** Win 13-4 1500.64 Ignored Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
40 Murmur Win 13-7 2097.56 Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
73 Petey's Pirates Win 13-10 1602.83 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
25 Alloy Win 9-6 2128.33 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
18 Columbus Cocktails Loss 12-13 1637.6 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
13 Toro Loss 9-13 1431.91 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
94 Soft Boiled Win 15-7 1781.95 Jul 13th Philly Invite 2019
90 Fleet** Win 15-3 1797.14 Ignored Jul 13th Philly Invite 2019
195 Heavy Flow** Win 15-4 1301.66 Ignored Jul 13th Philly Invite 2019
88 The Bandits Win 15-3 1802.88 Jul 13th Philly Invite 2019
117 PS Win 15-7 1699.32 Jul 14th Philly Invite 2019
46 Sparkle Ponies Win 11-8 1855.82 Jul 14th Philly Invite 2019
35 League of Shadows Win 12-8 2004.55 Jul 14th Philly Invite 2019
125 Nothing's Great Again** Win 15-4 1652.35 Ignored Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
18 Columbus Cocktails Win 15-14 1887.6 Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
7 Mischief Win 13-10 2255.66 Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
11 Lochsa Loss 7-9 1604.41 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
13 Toro Loss 6-12 1271.17 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
7 Mischief Win 11-10 2052.51 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
142 Philly Twist Win 13-7 1509.82 Sep 7th Founders Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
200 Left Turn Lane** Win 13-3 1294.93 Ignored Sep 7th Founders Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
126 Farm Show** Win 13-3 1647.51 Ignored Sep 7th Founders Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
112 Stoke** Win 15-6 1713.57 Ignored Sep 7th Founders Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
78 Blowing Heat 3.0 Win 15-5 1869.11 Sep 8th Founders Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
25 Alloy Win 12-10 1947.89 Sep 8th Founders Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)