#25 The Chad Larson Experience (24-6)

avg: 1600.75  •  sd: 88.13  •  top 16/20: 28.3%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
233 ALTimate Brews** Win 13-3 888.36 Ignored Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2018
160 Mad Udderburn** Win 13-4 1402.17 Ignored Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2018
135 Blitzkrieg Win 13-6 1557.73 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2018
111 panIC Win 13-5 1666.49 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2018
34 Woodwork Win 13-10 1843.52 Jul 1st Spirit of the Plains 2018
70 Chalice Win 10-8 1539.3 Jul 1st Spirit of the Plains 2018
166 Spirit Fowl** Win 13-3 1387.68 Ignored Jul 1st Spirit of the Plains 2018
34 Woodwork Win 13-10 1843.52 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2018
70 Chalice Win 13-6 1876.63 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2018
146 Prion** Win 13-4 1485.02 Ignored Aug 4th Heavyweights 2018
184 Mousetrap** Win 13-1 1258.08 Ignored Aug 5th Heavyweights 2018
34 Woodwork Win 13-11 1744.22 Aug 5th Heavyweights 2018
45 Northern Comfort Win 13-9 1854.43 Aug 5th Heavyweights 2018
97 tHUMP Win 13-5 1739.88 Aug 5th Heavyweights 2018
14 Lochsa Loss 10-12 1525.59 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
8 Love Tractor Loss 11-12 1754.16 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
36 Steamboat Win 12-11 1630.39 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
12 Mischief Loss 8-12 1343.2 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
10 shame. Win 13-10 2172.87 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
130 Impact Win 13-9 1387.39 Sep 15th West Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
135 Blitzkrieg Win 13-8 1453.89 Sep 15th West Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
93 Thoroughbred Win 13-5 1756.54 Sep 15th West Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
34 Woodwork Loss 12-14 1294.42 Sep 16th West Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
70 Chalice Win 15-8 1841.44 Sep 16th West Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
135 Blitzkrieg** Win 15-6 1557.73 Ignored Sep 16th West Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
34 Woodwork Win 11-10 1640.38 Sep 22nd North Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
3 Drag'n Thrust Loss 8-13 1522.07 Sep 22nd North Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
160 Mad Udderburn** Win 13-3 1402.17 Ignored Sep 22nd North Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
135 Blitzkrieg Win 13-11 1186.57 Sep 22nd North Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
70 Chalice Loss 12-13 1151.63 Sep 23rd North Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)