#59 Donuts (25-10)

avg: 1383.86  •  sd: 51.97  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
259 Party Cats-D Win 11-5 961.46 Jun 8th Bay Area Ultimate Classic 2019
176 Spoiler Alert Win 8-4 1346.24 Jun 8th Bay Area Ultimate Classic 2019
233 Feral Cows** Win 13-2 1090.13 Ignored Jun 8th Bay Area Ultimate Classic 2019
76 Firefly Loss 8-10 1007.96 Jun 8th Bay Area Ultimate Classic 2019
116 Absolute Zero Win 10-9 1229.82 Jun 9th Bay Area Ultimate Classic 2019
101 Robot Win 13-8 1664.09 Jun 9th Bay Area Ultimate Classic 2019
29 Lotus Loss 4-12 1043.08 Jun 9th Bay Area Ultimate Classic 2019
67 American Barbecue Win 10-9 1454.41 Jul 20th Revolution 2019
44 Pivot Loss 7-10 1110.47 Jul 20th Revolution 2019
102 Family Style Win 13-5 1767.56 Jul 20th Revolution 2019
67 American Barbecue Loss 7-10 939.75 Jul 21st Revolution 2019
106 California Burrito Win 12-7 1668.73 Jul 21st Revolution 2019
76 Firefly Loss 4-15 670.63 Jul 21st Revolution 2019
138 Choco Ghost House Win 15-7 1594.75 Aug 3rd Kleinman Eruption 2019
250 Friendzone** Win 15-4 1016.85 Ignored Aug 3rd Kleinman Eruption 2019
77 Happy Hour Win 10-8 1532.02 Aug 3rd Kleinman Eruption 2019
232 Natural Twenties** Win 15-2 1091.54 Ignored Aug 3rd Kleinman Eruption 2019
82 Pegasus Win 10-8 1508.26 Aug 4th Kleinman Eruption 2019
98 Buckwild Loss 12-13 1049.33 Aug 4th Kleinman Eruption 2019
127 Hive Win 9-7 1326.57 Aug 4th Kleinman Eruption 2019
106 California Burrito Win 10-5 1722.11 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
128 Springs Mixed Ulty Team Win 12-9 1385.72 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
246 Rogue** Win 13-5 1053.95 Ignored Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
104 Moontower Loss 11-12 1034.12 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
66 Flight Club Win 11-9 1582.51 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
69 Instant Karma Win 10-7 1695.96 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
44 Pivot Win 11-9 1749.34 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
259 Party Cats-D** Win 13-4 961.46 Ignored Sep 7th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
108 Argo Win 10-6 1638.08 Sep 7th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
48 Classy Loss 7-9 1187.01 Sep 7th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
145 The Los Gatos Gatos-Senior Win 9-8 1069.63 Sep 7th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
41 BW Ultimate Win 10-9 1664.26 Sep 8th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
20 Polar Bears Loss 7-10 1366.39 Sep 8th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
95 Platypi Win 13-7 1735.93 Sep 8th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
20 Polar Bears Loss 3-13 1156.06 Sep 8th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)