#24 MOONDOG (18-8)

avg: 1710.43  •  sd: 60.18  •  top 16/20: 7.7%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
54 Cutthroat Win 13-10 1757.96 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
14 Love Tractor Loss 7-9 1546.96 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
52 Mesteño Win 10-6 1937.91 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
134 Mixed Signals** Win 13-4 1613.23 Ignored Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
8 shame. Loss 4-15 1326.6 Jun 23rd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
60 Rubix Win 15-5 1964.9 Jun 23rd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
42 Woodwork Win 15-9 2045.29 Jun 23rd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
41 BW Ultimate Win 11-9 1788.47 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
28 Lights Out Win 13-9 2062.17 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
26 Public Enemy Win 12-11 1823.29 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
23 Rally Win 12-11 1836.34 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
52 Mesteño Win 12-10 1679.88 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
51 Minnesota Star Power Win 12-8 1900.18 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
43 Birdfruit Win 13-6 2117.79 Aug 17th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2019
48 Classy Win 10-7 1856.01 Aug 17th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2019
26 Public Enemy Win 11-8 2063.9 Aug 17th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2019
19 The Chad Larson Experience Loss 10-13 1431.58 Aug 17th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2019
29 Lotus Loss 8-10 1380.42 Aug 18th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2019
26 Public Enemy Loss 11-13 1469.45 Aug 18th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2019
262 Bozos** Win 13-2 940.45 Ignored Sep 7th Big Sky Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
63 Bunnies Win 13-8 1846.62 Sep 7th Big Sky Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
11 Lochsa Loss 11-13 1654.91 Sep 7th Big Sky Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
203 Fishpix!** Win 13-2 1291.68 Ignored Sep 7th Big Sky Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
63 Bunnies Loss 10-12 1112.34 Sep 8th Big Sky Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
11 Lochsa Loss 9-13 1465.18 Sep 8th Big Sky Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
166 Wasatch Sasquatch** Win 13-2 1439.19 Ignored Sep 8th Big Sky Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)