#22 MOONDOG (25-15)

avg: 1672.19  •  sd: 60.18  •  top 16/20: 7.7%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
50 Cutthroat Win 13-10 1744.71 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
16 Love Tractor Loss 7-9 1448.17 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
46 Mesteño Win 10-6 1940.45 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
114 Mixed Signals** Win 13-4 1660.51 Ignored Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
52 Woodwork Win 15-9 1912.71 Jun 23rd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
56 Rubix Win 15-5 1934.48 Jun 23rd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
6 shame. Loss 4-15 1328.01 Jun 23rd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
36 BW Ultimate Win 11-9 1774.12 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
25 Lights Out Win 13-9 2062.36 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
46 Mesteño Win 12-10 1682.41 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
14 Public Enemy Win 12-11 1884.91 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
27 Rally Win 12-11 1761.96 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
38 Minnesota Star Power Win 12-8 1952.91 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
39 Birdfruit Win 13-6 2093.84 Aug 17th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2019
42 Classy Win 10-7 1852.35 Aug 17th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2019
14 Public Enemy Win 11-8 2125.52 Aug 17th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2019
26 The Chad Larson Experience Loss 10-13 1313.83 Aug 17th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2019
30 Lotus Loss 8-10 1354.72 Aug 18th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2019
14 Public Enemy Loss 11-13 1531.07 Aug 18th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2019
258 Bozos** Win 13-2 907.13 Ignored Sep 7th Big Sky Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
58 Bunnies Win 13-8 1812.71 Sep 7th Big Sky Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
194 Fishpix!** Win 13-2 1258.36 Ignored Sep 7th Big Sky Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
11 Lochsa Loss 11-13 1569.24 Sep 7th Big Sky Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
58 Bunnies Loss 10-12 1078.43 Sep 8th Big Sky Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
164 Wasatch Sasquatch** Win 13-2 1406.46 Ignored Sep 8th Big Sky Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
11 Lochsa Loss 9-13 1379.52 Sep 8th Big Sky Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
5 BFG Win 12-11 2080.14 Sep 21st Northwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
119 Bulleit Train Win 11-9 1302.98 Sep 21st Northwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
58 Bunnies Win 13-8 1812.71 Sep 21st Northwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
79 Pegasus Win 12-3 1799.59 Sep 21st Northwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
37 Garage Sale Win 11-9 1770.37 Sep 22nd Northwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
11 Lochsa Win 14-13 1923.08 Sep 22nd Northwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
1 Seattle Mixtape Loss 8-15 1506.6 Sep 22nd Northwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
3 AMP Loss 10-13 1700 Oct 24th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
12 Snake Country Loss 5-15 1192.02 Oct 24th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
4 Mischief Loss 10-12 1718.08 Oct 24th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
7 Wild Card Loss 11-15 1492.6 Oct 25th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
18 Superlame Loss 14-15 1580.27 Oct 25th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
8 Slow White Win 13-12 1955.45 Oct 25th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
17 Polar Bears Loss 13-14 1584.63 Oct 26th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)