#166 Moonshine (18-18)

avg: 803.66  •  sd: 38.83  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
254 Derby City Thunder Win 11-2 929.34 Jul 6th Motown Throwdown 2019
185 Pixel Win 9-8 813.21 Jul 6th Motown Throwdown 2019
290 Taco Cat Win 11-5 511.82 Jul 6th Motown Throwdown 2019
156 EMU Loss 8-9 721 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2019
185 Pixel Win 9-8 813.21 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2019
175 Prion Win 9-8 866.33 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2019
248 Second Wind Loss 7-8 252.22 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2019
136 Crucible Loss 6-14 331.51 Jul 20th Bourbon Bash 2019
254 Derby City Thunder Win 10-7 719 Jul 20th Bourbon Bash 2019
172 Thunderpants the Magic Dragon Win 11-10 882.9 Jul 20th Bourbon Bash 2019
248 Second Wind Win 12-5 977.22 Jul 20th Bourbon Bash 2019
189 Hairy Otter Loss 10-11 540.97 Jul 21st Bourbon Bash 2019
216 Pi+ Win 13-9 993.92 Jul 21st Bourbon Bash 2019
196 Petey's Scallywags Win 6-4 1011.73 Jul 21st Bourbon Bash 2019
154 Goose Lee Loss 9-11 607.92 Aug 10th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
47 Huntsville Outlaws Loss 6-13 841.37 Aug 10th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
83 FlyTrap Loss 6-13 568.3 Aug 10th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
102 Tyrannis Loss 8-12 671.02 Aug 10th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
155 Jackpot Loss 3-11 256.9 Aug 11th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
132 Liquid Hustle Loss 11-14 654.13 Aug 11th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
84 sKNO cone Loss 6-8 864.91 Aug 11th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
149 Rowdy Win 9-8 995.54 Aug 11th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
227 Midwestern Mediocrity Win 13-10 800.18 Sep 7th East Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
250 Mishigami Win 13-8 859.58 Sep 7th East Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
74 Petey's Pirates Loss 5-13 629.88 Sep 7th East Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
63 Toast Loss 3-15 677.36 Sep 7th East Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
196 Petey's Scallywags Win 13-12 771.12 Sep 8th East Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
172 Thunderpants the Magic Dragon Win 15-12 1058.39 Sep 8th East Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
74 Petey's Pirates Loss 7-15 629.88 Sep 8th East Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
23 U54 Ultimate** Loss 1-13 1053.2 Ignored Sep 21st Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
139 Tequila Mockingbird Win 13-9 1327.24 Sep 21st Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
74 Petey's Pirates Loss 8-13 733.72 Sep 21st Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
107 Shakedown Loss 11-13 864.02 Sep 21st Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
147 Los Heros Win 15-10 1326.83 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
132 Liquid Hustle Loss 10-12 729.34 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
139 Tequila Mockingbird Win 10-8 1171.34 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)