#56 Murmur (22-11)

avg: 1321.17  •  sd: 57.46  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
176 ThunderCats Win 13-6 1306.33 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2018
95 Ant Madness Win 13-7 1704.81 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2018
156 Heavy Flow Win 13-6 1439.56 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2018
100 FlyTrap Win 12-10 1352.49 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2018
99 Legion Win 12-7 1635.77 Jun 24th Summer Glazed Daze 2018
60 NC Galaxy Loss 12-13 1172.55 Jun 24th Summer Glazed Daze 2018
54 JLP Loss 11-12 1200.88 Jun 24th Summer Glazed Daze 2018
101 Tyrannis Loss 10-12 874.27 Jun 24th Summer Glazed Daze 2018
41 Storm Loss 7-13 921.63 Jul 21st Club Terminus 2018
38 Columbus Cocktails Loss 9-10 1375.3 Jul 21st Club Terminus 2018
226 Baywatch** Win 13-4 946.12 Ignored Jul 22nd Club Terminus 2018
27 Weird Loss 7-12 1057.34 Jul 22nd Club Terminus 2018
151 LoveShack Win 11-8 1222.04 Jul 22nd Club Terminus 2018
54 JLP Win 13-7 1883.41 Jul 22nd Club Terminus 2018
129 Moonshine Win 11-9 1220.78 Aug 11th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
155 Liquid Hustle Win 13-7 1399.36 Aug 11th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
151 LoveShack Win 13-5 1456.43 Aug 11th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
98 Cahoots Win 12-10 1360.14 Aug 11th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
103 Trash Pandas Win 14-9 1579.09 Aug 12th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
84 'Shine Loss 13-15 1007.28 Aug 12th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
90 Mutiny Win 11-4 1765.68 Aug 12th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
188 Hairy Otter** Win 13-4 1241.26 Ignored Sep 8th East Coast Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
238 Strictly Bidness Win 13-7 744.94 Sep 8th East Coast Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
153 APEX Win 10-5 1427.25 Sep 8th East Coast Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
84 'Shine Win 13-7 1778.99 Sep 8th East Coast Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
19 Bucket Loss 9-11 1456.02 Sep 9th East Coast Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
54 JLP Win 11-10 1450.88 Sep 9th East Coast Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
42 Mixfits Loss 12-13 1349.53 Sep 22nd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
100 FlyTrap Win 13-9 1532.94 Sep 22nd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
78 Malice in Wonderland Win 13-10 1571.68 Sep 22nd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
82 Method Loss 8-12 791.46 Sep 22nd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
122 Huntsville Outlaws Loss 10-13 688.58 Sep 23rd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
100 FlyTrap Win 13-10 1442.51 Sep 23rd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)