#183 Wildstyle (11-12)

avg: 712.34  •  sd: 57.4  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
45 Waterloo** Loss 3-11 847.57 Ignored Jun 15th Texas Two Finger 2019
247 rubber duck ultimate. Win 11-6 931.84 Jun 15th Texas Two Finger 2019
78 Memphis STAX Loss 8-11 841.73 Jun 15th Texas Two Finger 2019
284 Mixed on the Rock** Win 11-3 680.36 Ignored Jun 15th Texas Two Finger 2019
81 Bexar Loss 8-15 629.77 Jul 13th Riverside Classic 2019
214 Chili Poppers Loss 11-13 351.68 Jul 13th Riverside Classic 2019
281 Alpha Win 15-8 705.3 Jul 13th Riverside Classic 2019
224 Mud Turtles Win 11-8 893.47 Jul 14th Riverside Classic 2019
81 Bexar Loss 7-15 594.58 Jul 14th Riverside Classic 2019
214 Chili Poppers Win 15-2 1180.52 Jul 14th Riverside Classic 2019
168 ELevate Loss 7-13 222.61 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
279 Identity Theft Win 13-5 755.32 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
290 Taco Cat** Win 13-2 511.82 Ignored Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
137 Mad Udderburn Loss 6-13 327.56 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
168 ELevate Loss 11-12 655.15 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
217 Stackcats Win 13-8 1064.68 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
224 Mud Turtles Win 12-3 1127.86 Sep 7th Texas Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
270 Boomshakalaka Win 13-5 842.71 Sep 7th Texas Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
45 Waterloo Loss 8-13 951.41 Sep 7th Texas Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
14 Public Enemy** Loss 5-13 1159.91 Ignored Sep 7th Texas Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
214 Chili Poppers Loss 6-9 161.95 Sep 8th Texas Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
262 Balloon Win 12-4 878.14 Sep 8th Texas Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
129 Moontower Loss 6-11 441.49 Sep 8th Texas Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)