#23 Lights Out (25-8)

avg: 1614.46  •  sd: 63.61  •  top 16/20: 4.1%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
85 Platypi Win 10-8 1453.34 Jul 21st Revolution 2018
72 Bird Win 11-7 1733.2 Jul 21st Revolution 2018
67 Firefly Win 13-7 1840.14 Jul 21st Revolution 2018
74 Alchemy Win 13-7 1822.73 Jul 22nd Revolution 2018
119 Buckwild Win 15-6 1631.1 Jul 22nd Revolution 2018
17 Polar Bears Loss 8-10 1477.02 Jul 22nd Revolution 2018
12 Mischief Loss 5-12 1184.35 Jul 22nd Revolution 2018
7 Blackbird Win 11-10 2016.68 Jul 22nd Revolution 2018
80 Garbage Win 13-4 1840.08 Aug 4th Kleinman Eruption 2018
121 Igneous Ultimate Win 13-6 1620.64 Aug 4th Kleinman Eruption 2018
168 Oh My!** Win 13-4 1369.64 Ignored Aug 4th Kleinman Eruption 2018
81 Pegasus Win 13-8 1733.45 Aug 4th Kleinman Eruption 2018
75 Happy Hour Loss 14-15 1132.58 Aug 5th Kleinman Eruption 2018
143 Bulleit Train** Win 15-6 1491.6 Ignored Aug 5th Kleinman Eruption 2018
29 7 Figures Loss 10-11 1435.38 Aug 18th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
61 Donuts Win 12-7 1812.64 Aug 18th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
35 Classy Win 13-7 2071.24 Aug 18th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
89 Sweet Action Win 13-5 1769.03 Aug 18th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
29 7 Figures Win 12-11 1685.38 Aug 19th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
37 BW Ultimate Win 13-5 2100.56 Aug 19th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
6 Snake Country Loss 11-13 1714.14 Aug 19th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
- Mola Mola** Win 11-0 984.98 Ignored Sep 8th Washington Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
80 Garbage Win 10-6 1736.24 Sep 8th Washington Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
123 Image.Is.Everything. Win 11-7 1480.18 Sep 8th Washington Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
143 Bulleit Train Win 10-6 1387.76 Sep 8th Washington Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
- RuffSide** Win 11-3 1184.1 Ignored Sep 8th Washington Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
13 Birdfruit Loss 8-12 1338.14 Sep 9th Washington Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
106 Choco Ghost House Win 13-7 1638.27 Sep 22nd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
69 Mental Toss Flycoons Win 13-4 1879.48 Sep 22nd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
168 Oh My!** Win 13-5 1369.64 Ignored Sep 22nd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
14 Lochsa Loss 10-13 1435.57 Sep 22nd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
80 Garbage Win 12-11 1365.08 Sep 23rd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
46 The Administrators Loss 9-11 1146.59 Sep 23rd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)