#156 EMU (20-12)

avg: 846  •  sd: 58.25  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
147 Los Heros Loss 8-11 507.61 Jul 6th Motown Throwdown 2019
175 Prion Win 9-4 1341.33 Jul 6th Motown Throwdown 2019
211 Mastodon Win 10-8 851.32 Jul 6th Motown Throwdown 2019
154 Goose Lee Win 13-9 1275.69 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2019
153 Buffalo Lake Effect Win 9-7 1138.37 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2019
166 Moonshine Win 9-8 928.66 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2019
63 Toast Loss 5-8 823.75 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2019
295 Fox Valley Forge** Win 13-1 255.54 Ignored Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
176 Mousetrap Win 13-10 1060.57 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
111 PanIC Loss 5-13 467.97 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
199 Jabba Win 9-8 761.72 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
227 Midwestern Mediocrity Win 13-5 1072.03 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
211 Mastodon Win 13-9 1007.23 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
295 Fox Valley Forge** Win 13-1 255.54 Ignored Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
141 Point of No Return Win 14-13 1023.63 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
107 Shakedown Loss 8-11 727.25 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
182 Rocket LawnChair Loss 11-13 484.88 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
217 Stackcats Win 10-4 1168.52 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
176 Mousetrap Loss 9-10 607.43 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
199 Jabba Win 6-5 761.72 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
107 Shakedown Loss 5-15 492.86 Sep 7th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
147 Los Heros Loss 8-15 308.41 Sep 7th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
199 Jabba Win 13-8 1132.88 Sep 7th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
168 ELevate Loss 10-14 381.44 Sep 8th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
168 ELevate Win 14-13 905.15 Sep 8th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
249 Skyhawks Win 15-8 941.55 Sep 8th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
199 Jabba Win 15-13 850.9 Sep 8th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
122 Nothing's Great Again Win 13-9 1454.42 Sep 21st Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
24 Steamboat** Loss 4-13 1050.58 Ignored Sep 21st Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
147 Los Heros Win 12-9 1218.59 Sep 21st Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
121 Stripes Loss 10-13 714.73 Sep 21st Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
139 Tequila Mockingbird Loss 10-14 509.97 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)