#29 7 Figures (22-13)

avg: 1560.38  •  sd: 64.81  •  top 16/20: 12.4%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
7 Blackbird Loss 10-12 1653.55 Jul 7th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
21 Public Enemy Win 11-9 1924.86 Jul 7th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
8 Love Tractor Loss 7-13 1321.63 Jul 7th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
9 Wild Card Loss 9-11 1624.44 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
20 No Touching! Win 14-12 1902.34 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
10 shame. Loss 6-12 1265.42 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
16 NOISE Loss 5-11 1143.18 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
35 Classy Win 10-7 1903.38 Jul 21st Revolution 2018
74 Alchemy Win 12-6 1844.51 Jul 21st Revolution 2018
12 Mischief Win 11-8 2149.96 Jul 21st Revolution 2018
62 Long Beach Legacy Win 12-6 1871.11 Jul 22nd Revolution 2018
17 Polar Bears Win 11-10 1864.68 Jul 22nd Revolution 2018
12 Mischief Loss 7-8 1659.35 Jul 22nd Revolution 2018
37 BW Ultimate Win 9-8 1625.56 Aug 18th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
89 Sweet Action Win 13-4 1769.03 Aug 18th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
23 Lights Out Win 11-10 1739.46 Aug 18th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
39 Minnesota Star Power Win 11-4 2099.53 Aug 18th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
55 American Barbecue Win 12-4 1924.28 Aug 19th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
13 Birdfruit Loss 6-13 1179.29 Aug 19th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
23 Lights Out Loss 11-12 1489.46 Aug 19th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
- ¡Fiesta! Win 11-6 1348.29 Sep 8th So Cal Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
71 Robot Loss 6-10 778.74 Sep 8th So Cal Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
62 Long Beach Legacy Win 11-3 1891.8 Sep 8th So Cal Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
110 California Burrito Win 10-6 1563.24 Sep 8th So Cal Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
65 Family Style Loss 5-9 758.16 Sep 9th So Cal Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
200 Rogue** Win 11-2 1172.74 Ignored Sep 9th So Cal Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
48 Rubix Win 9-7 1658.17 Sep 9th So Cal Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
71 Robot Win 5-1 1874.9 Sep 9th So Cal Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
52 Instant Karma Win 13-11 1573.89 Sep 22nd Southwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
7 Blackbird Loss 8-13 1395.52 Sep 22nd Southwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
67 Firefly Win 12-11 1407.6 Sep 22nd Southwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
55 American Barbecue Win 13-11 1553.12 Sep 22nd Southwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
35 Classy Loss 7-13 956.18 Sep 23rd Southwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
85 Platypi Win 13-2 1790.67 Sep 23rd Southwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
37 BW Ultimate Loss 10-11 1375.56 Sep 23rd Southwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)