#30 Lotus (25-9)

avg: 1617.38  •  sd: 65.76  •  top 16/20: 1.1%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
118 Absolute Zero Win 13-5 1654.19 Jun 8th Bay Area Ultimate Classic 2019
163 VU** Win 10-4 1414.21 Ignored Jun 8th Bay Area Ultimate Classic 2019
96 Robot Win 10-7 1510.39 Jun 8th Bay Area Ultimate Classic 2019
269 Sebastopol Orchard** Win 13-3 843.88 Ignored Jun 8th Bay Area Ultimate Classic 2019
237 Feral Cows** Win 15-1 1031.23 Ignored Jun 9th Bay Area Ultimate Classic 2019
66 Firefly Win 15-4 1857.29 Jun 9th Bay Area Ultimate Classic 2019
64 Donuts Win 12-4 1872.77 Jun 9th Bay Area Ultimate Classic 2019
42 Classy Loss 9-10 1337.69 Jul 20th Revolution 2019
118 Absolute Zero Win 11-6 1600.88 Jul 20th Revolution 2019
66 Firefly Win 12-9 1602.65 Jul 20th Revolution 2019
97 California Burrito Win 13-4 1720.63 Jul 21st Revolution 2019
66 Firefly Win 15-6 1857.29 Jul 21st Revolution 2019
48 Pivot Loss 8-11 1074.9 Jul 21st Revolution 2019
38 Minnesota Star Power Loss 7-10 1122.09 Aug 17th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2019
25 Lights Out Loss 9-12 1298.42 Aug 17th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2019
1 Seattle Mixtape Loss 9-11 1822.2 Aug 17th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2019
46 Mesteño Win 13-9 1862.85 Aug 17th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2019
5 BFG Loss 10-13 1627 Aug 18th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2019
39 Birdfruit Win 13-8 1990 Aug 18th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2019
22 MOONDOG Win 10-8 1934.85 Aug 18th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2019
25 Lights Out Win 12-8 2084.94 Aug 18th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2019
195 Birds of Paradise** Win 13-4 1248.76 Ignored Sep 7th So Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
98 Family Style Loss 10-11 993.32 Sep 7th So Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
243 Rogue** Win 13-4 1010.15 Ignored Sep 7th So Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
96 Robot Win 10-8 1383.39 Sep 7th So Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
142 Superstition** Win 13-1 1497.8 Ignored Sep 8th So Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
69 Instant Karma Win 12-8 1683.69 Sep 8th So Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
48 Pivot Win 11-8 1806.12 Sep 8th So Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
88 Alchemy Win 13-9 1571.72 Sep 21st Southwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
127 Platypi** Win 13-3 1604.27 Ignored Sep 21st Southwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
48 Pivot Win 13-8 1936.67 Sep 21st Southwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
4 Mischief Loss 4-13 1356.21 Sep 21st Southwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
56 Rubix Win 12-9 1679.85 Sep 22nd Southwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
17 Polar Bears Loss 11-12 1584.63 Sep 22nd Southwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)