#79 8 Bit Heroes (21-14)

avg: 1243.22  •  sd: 53.77  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
153 APEX Win 12-7 1373.87 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2018
78 Malice in Wonderland Loss 12-13 1118.54 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2018
54 JLP Loss 11-13 1097.04 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2018
219 Carolina Reign** Win 13-4 1025.47 Ignored Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2018
18 Loco Loss 8-13 1238.24 Jun 24th Summer Glazed Daze 2018
63 Rowdy Loss 11-12 1163.72 Jun 24th Summer Glazed Daze 2018
95 Ant Madness Win 12-8 1588.43 Jun 24th Summer Glazed Daze 2018
98 Cahoots Loss 6-11 575.32 Jun 24th Summer Glazed Daze 2018
60 NC Galaxy Win 9-8 1422.55 Jul 21st SunRise Open 2018
63 Rowdy Loss 8-13 792.56 Jul 21st SunRise Open 2018
126 American Hyperbole Win 11-5 1582.26 Jul 21st SunRise Open 2018
132 HVAC Win 15-9 1478.01 Jul 22nd SunRise Open 2018
63 Rowdy Loss 11-13 1059.88 Jul 22nd SunRise Open 2018
95 Ant Madness Win 10-7 1536.95 Jul 22nd SunRise Open 2018
50 Grand Army Win 12-9 1715.05 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
114 Buffalo Lake Effect Win 12-9 1387.1 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
126 American Hyperbole Win 13-7 1539.79 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
179 LORD Win 13-6 1281.22 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
87 Sparkle Ponies Loss 11-13 948.59 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
95 Ant Madness Win 10-7 1536.95 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
- Vacation** Win 11-3 579.6 Ignored Sep 8th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
132 HVAC Win 10-9 1087.53 Sep 8th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
87 Sparkle Ponies Win 9-8 1302.43 Sep 8th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
192 RnB Win 11-6 1165.47 Sep 8th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
243 SPACE INVADERS** Win 11-4 620.63 Ignored Sep 8th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
5 Space Heater** Loss 1-15 1362.94 Ignored Sep 9th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
- Fireball Win 10-8 1489.17 Sep 9th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
95 Ant Madness Loss 7-8 1022.28 Sep 9th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
132 HVAC Win 15-8 1527.34 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
26 Alloy Loss 6-13 989.35 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
59 Distelfink Loss 11-12 1175.71 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
173 Fake Newport News Win 15-13 955.75 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
5 Space Heater** Loss 5-15 1362.94 Ignored Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
24 Rally Loss 6-15 1011.11 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
95 Ant Madness Win 12-11 1272.28 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)