#49 League of Shadows (23-14)

avg: 1437.71  •  sd: 55.34  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
153 Buffalo Lake Effect Win 15-7 1459.03 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
3 AMP Loss 7-12 1507.64 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
7 Wild Card Loss 4-15 1273.76 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
86 The Feminists Win 12-5 1764.15 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
71 Chaotic Good Win 15-5 1834.05 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
34 XIST Loss 7-13 972.71 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
34 XIST Loss 5-12 930.24 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
193 Heavy Flow** Win 15-4 1261.14 Ignored Jul 13th Philly Invite 2019
85 Eat Lightning Win 15-7 1765.11 Jul 13th Philly Invite 2019
123 PS Win 15-5 1632.36 Jul 13th Philly Invite 2019
92 The Bandits Win 14-10 1533.05 Jul 13th Philly Invite 2019
77 Ant Madness Win 15-9 1737.09 Jul 14th Philly Invite 2019
131 Farm Show Win 15-5 1573.83 Jul 14th Philly Invite 2019
15 Loco Loss 8-12 1314.91 Jul 14th Philly Invite 2019
44 Grand Army Win 13-10 1789.59 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
21 Bucket Loss 7-10 1287.53 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
62 8 Bit Heroes Win 11-10 1413.07 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
32 Storm Win 11-7 2028.22 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
62 8 Bit Heroes Win 13-7 1845.6 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
27 Rally Loss 7-13 1079.42 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
32 Storm Loss 10-11 1436.32 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
205 DTH** Win 15-3 1217.47 Ignored Sep 7th East New England Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
207 Face Off** Win 15-4 1205.01 Ignored Sep 7th East New England Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
150 Scarecrow Win 14-8 1398.05 Sep 7th East New England Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
210 Sorted Beans** Win 15-3 1197.53 Ignored Sep 7th East New England Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
71 Chaotic Good Win 15-8 1798.86 Sep 8th East New England Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
51 Darkwing Loss 9-13 991.57 Sep 8th East New England Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
51 Darkwing Loss 11-15 1028.97 Sep 8th East New England Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
93 Sunken Circus Win 12-11 1258.39 Sep 8th East New England Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
105 Happy Valley Win 13-9 1518.17 Sep 21st Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
150 Scarecrow Win 13-5 1462.02 Sep 21st Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
57 Metro North Loss 9-13 910.44 Sep 21st Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
12 Snake Country Loss 8-13 1295.86 Sep 21st Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
85 Eat Lightning Win 15-7 1765.11 Sep 22nd Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
8 Slow White Loss 5-15 1230.45 Sep 22nd Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
57 Metro North Win 15-10 1782.61 Sep 22nd Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
12 Snake Country Loss 8-15 1227.21 Sep 22nd Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)