#35 League of Shadows (19-10)

avg: 1563.4  •  sd: 55.34  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
2 AMP Loss 7-12 1586.86 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
151 Buffalo Lake Effect Win 15-7 1523.09 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
5 Wild Card Loss 4-15 1402.74 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
81 The Feminists Win 12-5 1852.72 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
61 Chaotic Good Win 15-5 1951.87 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
31 XIST Loss 7-13 1068.39 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
31 XIST Loss 5-12 1025.92 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
86 Eat Lightning Win 15-7 1821.84 Jul 13th Philly Invite 2019
195 Heavy Flow** Win 15-4 1301.66 Ignored Jul 13th Philly Invite 2019
117 PS Win 15-5 1699.32 Jul 13th Philly Invite 2019
88 The Bandits Win 14-10 1601.58 Jul 13th Philly Invite 2019
72 Ant Madness Win 15-9 1791.78 Jul 14th Philly Invite 2019
15 Loco Loss 8-12 1361.18 Jul 14th Philly Invite 2019
126 Farm Show Win 15-5 1647.51 Jul 14th Philly Invite 2019
57 8 Bit Heroes Win 11-10 1516.87 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
21 Bucket Loss 7-10 1333.55 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
56 Grand Army Win 13-10 1730.01 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
27 Storm Win 11-7 2119.94 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
57 8 Bit Heroes Win 13-7 1949.4 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
23 Rally Loss 7-13 1153.8 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
27 Storm Loss 10-11 1528.05 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
206 DTH** Win 15-3 1274.83 Ignored Sep 7th East New England Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
210 Face Off** Win 15-4 1257.87 Ignored Sep 7th East New England Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
148 Scarecrow Win 14-8 1464.74 Sep 7th East New England Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
212 Sorted Beans** Win 15-3 1249.6 Ignored Sep 7th East New England Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
61 Chaotic Good Win 15-8 1916.68 Sep 8th East New England Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
39 Darkwing Loss 9-13 1122.5 Sep 8th East New England Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
39 Darkwing Loss 11-15 1159.91 Sep 8th East New England Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
97 Sunken Circus Win 14-6 1777.86 Sep 8th East New England Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)