#61 American Barbecue (17-17)

avg: 1298.36  •  sd: 48.97  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
101 Buckwild Win 12-5 1713.25 Jun 29th Truckee River Ultimate Cooldown 2019
50 Cutthroat Loss 8-9 1291.57 Jun 29th Truckee River Ultimate Cooldown 2019
299 Delta Breeze** Win 13-1 600 Ignored Jun 29th Truckee River Ultimate Cooldown 2019
104 Argo Win 13-7 1659.37 Jun 29th Truckee River Ultimate Cooldown 2019
50 Cutthroat Loss 9-15 901.09 Jun 30th Truckee River Ultimate Cooldown 2019
88 Alchemy Win 12-11 1278.15 Jun 30th Truckee River Ultimate Cooldown 2019
37 Garage Sale Loss 8-12 1080.01 Jun 30th Truckee River Ultimate Cooldown 2019
88 Alchemy Win 10-9 1278.15 Jul 20th Revolution 2019
98 Family Style Loss 9-10 993.32 Jul 20th Revolution 2019
64 Donuts Loss 9-10 1147.77 Jul 20th Revolution 2019
48 Pivot Loss 8-11 1074.9 Jul 20th Revolution 2019
42 Classy Loss 11-12 1337.69 Jul 21st Revolution 2019
118 Absolute Zero Win 10-9 1179.19 Jul 21st Revolution 2019
64 Donuts Win 10-7 1662.43 Jul 21st Revolution 2019
33 Hybrid Loss 7-13 988.87 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
29 Alloy Loss 7-13 1065.08 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
26 The Chad Larson Experience Loss 10-13 1313.83 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
139 Tequila Mockingbird Win 13-7 1466.2 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
65 Northern Comfort Win 11-9 1512.3 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
117 Bird Win 13-9 1474.95 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
101 Buckwild Win 12-8 1554.4 Sep 7th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
163 VU Win 10-8 1076.87 Sep 7th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
237 Feral Cows** Win 13-2 1031.23 Ignored Sep 7th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
17 Polar Bears Loss 7-12 1189.12 Sep 7th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
42 Classy Loss 8-10 1200.02 Sep 8th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
50 Cutthroat Loss 9-11 1167.36 Sep 8th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
104 Argo Win 10-8 1364.5 Sep 8th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
66 Firefly Win 11-10 1382.29 Sep 8th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
17 Polar Bears Loss 10-13 1381.49 Sep 21st Southwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
64 Donuts Win 13-10 1600.91 Sep 21st Southwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
66 Firefly Loss 11-13 1028.45 Sep 21st Southwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
48 Pivot Loss 10-11 1315.51 Sep 21st Southwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
36 BW Ultimate Loss 7-13 967.38 Sep 22nd Southwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
42 Classy Win 12-9 1808.05 Sep 22nd Southwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)