#139 Tequila Mockingbird (14-19)

avg: 908.67  •  sd: 46.3  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
255 LudICRous Win 13-1 921.18 Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
256 Robotic Snakes Win 11-5 918.62 Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
112 Pandamonium Loss 10-12 828.98 Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
199 Jabba Win 8-7 761.72 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
208 Pushovers-B Win 7-6 727.17 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
111 PanIC Loss 7-9 788.63 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
287 Ope!** Win 10-4 623.57 Ignored Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
61 American Barbecue Loss 7-13 740.83 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
7 Wild Card** Loss 4-13 1273.76 Ignored Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
52 Woodwork Loss 5-13 797.23 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
68 JLP Loss 9-12 900.22 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
65 Northern Comfort Loss 9-11 1013.89 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
117 Bird Win 10-8 1319.05 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
193 Heavy Flow Win 10-3 1261.14 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
89 HVAC Loss 10-12 914.34 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
77 Ant Madness Loss 5-13 621.61 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
110 Rat City Loss 12-13 949.3 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
77 Ant Madness Loss 9-12 876.24 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
128 Legion Win 13-9 1410.22 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
168 ELevate Win 12-11 905.15 Sep 7th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
121 Stripes Loss 8-13 546.71 Sep 7th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
264 SlipStream Win 13-7 826.44 Sep 7th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
217 Stackcats Win 13-8 1064.68 Sep 7th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
168 ELevate Win 15-6 1380.15 Sep 8th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
132 Liquid Hustle Win 16-15 1092.47 Sep 8th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
121 Stripes Loss 10-15 589.27 Sep 8th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
107 Shakedown Loss 10-13 764.72 Sep 8th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
23 U54 Ultimate Loss 6-13 1053.2 Sep 21st Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
74 Petey's Pirates Loss 9-10 1104.88 Sep 21st Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
166 Moonshine Loss 9-13 385.09 Sep 21st Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
156 EMU Win 14-10 1244.7 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
122 Nothing's Great Again Loss 11-12 910.85 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
166 Moonshine Loss 8-10 540.99 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)