#82 Method (23-10)

avg: 1232.62  •  sd: 65.29  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
19 Bucket Loss 10-13 1377.09 Jun 16th ATL Classic 2018
225 Big Bend** Win 13-4 951.82 Ignored Jun 16th ATL Classic 2018
151 LoveShack Win 13-5 1456.43 Jun 16th ATL Classic 2018
244 Mixchief** Win 13-2 577.14 Ignored Jun 16th ATL Classic 2018
90 Mutiny Win 12-11 1290.68 Jun 17th ATL Classic 2018
103 Trash Pandas Win 13-6 1705.22 Jun 17th ATL Classic 2018
19 Bucket Loss 5-13 1105.23 Jun 17th ATL Classic 2018
188 Hairy Otter Win 13-5 1241.26 Jul 7th Huckfest 2018
103 Trash Pandas Loss 7-9 825.88 Jul 7th Huckfest 2018
197 Magic City Mayhem** Win 13-3 1185.27 Ignored Jul 7th Huckfest 2018
201 Mississippi Blues** Win 13-3 1169.82 Ignored Jul 7th Huckfest 2018
27 Weird Loss 9-12 1232.48 Jul 8th Huckfest 2018
103 Trash Pandas Win 12-8 1546.38 Jul 8th Huckfest 2018
122 Huntsville Outlaws Win 10-9 1141.72 Jul 8th Huckfest 2018
42 Mixfits Loss 11-13 1245.69 Aug 11th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
219 Carolina Reign Win 13-7 983 Aug 11th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
54 JLP Win 13-8 1822.04 Aug 11th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
105 Jackpot Loss 9-13 667.13 Aug 11th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
129 Moonshine Win 13-8 1467.73 Aug 12th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
147 Goose Lee Win 13-12 1008.61 Aug 12th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
63 Rowdy Loss 12-15 988.23 Aug 12th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
105 Jackpot Win 13-11 1314.53 Aug 12th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
122 Huntsville Outlaws Win 12-11 1141.72 Sep 8th Gulf Coast Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
197 Magic City Mayhem** Win 13-3 1185.27 Ignored Sep 8th Gulf Coast Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
115 STAX Win 9-8 1162.43 Sep 8th Gulf Coast Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
201 Mississippi Blues Win 11-6 1116.51 Sep 8th Gulf Coast Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
240 Memphis Hustle & Flow** Win 13-3 744.49 Ignored Sep 9th Gulf Coast Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
115 STAX Win 10-9 1162.43 Sep 9th Gulf Coast Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
56 Murmur Win 12-8 1762.32 Sep 22nd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
60 NC Galaxy Loss 9-10 1172.55 Sep 22nd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
27 Weird Loss 3-12 977.85 Sep 22nd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
98 Cahoots Win 12-10 1360.14 Sep 22nd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
15 Toro Loss 5-13 1160.64 Sep 23rd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)