#14 Lochsa (24-7)

avg: 1763.72  •  sd: 63.94  •  top 16/20: 48.8%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
51 Cutthroat Win 11-5 1957.69 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
28 Mesteño Win 13-6 2162.54 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
89 Sweet Action Win 10-5 1742.93 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
10 shame. Win 12-10 2082.85 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
40 Five One Two Win 15-10 1938.9 Jun 17th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
8 Love Tractor Win 14-9 2353.03 Jun 17th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
49 Cosa Nostra Win 13-1 1971.79 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
24 Rally Loss 10-11 1486.11 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
93 Thoroughbred Win 13-8 1652.7 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
77 Tequila Mockingbird Win 13-4 1852.9 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
35 Classy Loss 11-12 1388.71 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
17 Polar Bears Loss 7-13 1182.15 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
28 Mesteño Win 9-6 1981.1 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
36 Steamboat Win 12-11 1630.39 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
25 The Chad Larson Experience Win 12-10 1838.87 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
8 Love Tractor Loss 8-10 1616.49 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
19 Bucket Loss 8-10 1442.56 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
16 NOISE Win 13-10 2071.32 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
199 Wasatch Sasquatch** Win 13-1 1178.35 Ignored Sep 8th Big Sky Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
- Hot Tub Magic** Win 13-1 1381.87 Ignored Sep 8th Big Sky Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
44 Bozos Win 13-10 1788.81 Sep 8th Big Sky Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
69 Mental Toss Flycoons Win 13-10 1607.63 Sep 8th Big Sky Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
- Dixon Melons** Win 13-1 1108.84 Ignored Sep 9th Big Sky Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
69 Mental Toss Flycoons Win 13-10 1607.63 Sep 9th Big Sky Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
69 Mental Toss Flycoons Win 13-7 1837.02 Sep 22nd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
168 Oh My! Win 13-6 1369.64 Sep 22nd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
23 Lights Out Win 13-10 1942.6 Sep 22nd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
2 Seattle Mixtape Loss 9-13 1603.06 Sep 22nd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
69 Mental Toss Flycoons Win 13-8 1775.64 Sep 23rd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
4 BFG Loss 9-12 1634.53 Sep 23rd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
13 Birdfruit Win 13-6 2379.29 Sep 23rd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)