#90 Mutiny (22-13)

avg: 1165.68  •  sd: 66.02  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
122 Huntsville Outlaws Win 12-10 1254.84 Jun 16th ATL Classic 2018
201 Mississippi Blues Win 13-5 1169.82 Jun 16th ATL Classic 2018
177 OutKast Win 13-4 1297.14 Jun 16th ATL Classic 2018
103 Trash Pandas Loss 8-11 739.61 Jun 16th ATL Classic 2018
82 Method Loss 11-12 1107.62 Jun 17th ATL Classic 2018
122 Huntsville Outlaws Win 11-9 1265.93 Jun 17th ATL Classic 2018
225 Big Bend Win 13-6 951.82 Jul 7th Swan Boat 2018
- Bold City Win 13-3 1175.94 Jul 7th Swan Boat 2018
105 Jackpot Win 10-8 1348.36 Jul 7th Swan Boat 2018
244 Mixchief** Win 13-3 577.14 Ignored Jul 7th Swan Boat 2018
105 Jackpot Win 15-10 1539.3 Jul 8th Swan Boat 2018
54 JLP Win 13-5 1925.88 Jul 21st Club Terminus 2018
27 Weird Loss 8-10 1315.18 Jul 21st Club Terminus 2018
151 LoveShack Win 13-6 1456.43 Jul 22nd Club Terminus 2018
226 Baywatch** Win 13-5 946.12 Ignored Jul 22nd Club Terminus 2018
38 Columbus Cocktails Loss 5-11 900.3 Jul 22nd Club Terminus 2018
41 Storm Win 8-7 1604.16 Jul 22nd Club Terminus 2018
183 BRUH Win 13-4 1267.06 Aug 11th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
205 Fifth Element Win 13-7 1101.52 Aug 11th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
78 Malice in Wonderland Win 11-8 1609.15 Aug 11th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
84 'Shine Loss 7-12 700.95 Aug 11th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
42 Mixfits Loss 9-15 959.05 Aug 12th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
56 Murmur Loss 4-11 721.17 Aug 12th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
151 LoveShack Win 14-11 1169.77 Aug 12th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
100 FlyTrap Win 15-12 1414.86 Aug 12th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
27 Weird Loss 9-13 1159.28 Sep 8th Florida Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
105 Jackpot Loss 8-9 960.69 Sep 8th Florida Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
- Bold City Win 15-9 1091.42 Sep 9th Florida Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
105 Jackpot Win 13-12 1210.69 Sep 9th Florida Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
41 Storm Loss 10-13 1151.02 Sep 22nd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
15 Toro Loss 3-13 1160.64 Sep 22nd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
122 Huntsville Outlaws Win 13-11 1245.56 Sep 22nd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
54 JLP Loss 3-13 725.88 Sep 22nd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
98 Cahoots Loss 9-11 872.81 Sep 23rd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
84 'Shine Win 12-11 1346.46 Sep 23rd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)