#78 Malice in Wonderland (16-12)

avg: 1243.54  •  sd: 66.76  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
79 8 Bit Heroes Win 13-12 1368.22 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2018
219 Carolina Reign Win 13-7 983 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2018
54 JLP Loss 11-12 1200.88 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2018
18 Loco Loss 5-13 1134.4 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2018
42 Mixfits Win 11-10 1599.53 Jun 24th Summer Glazed Daze 2018
153 APEX Win 13-6 1453.35 Jun 24th Summer Glazed Daze 2018
99 Legion Win 14-8 1651.3 Jun 24th Summer Glazed Daze 2018
63 Rowdy Win 11-9 1537.93 Jun 24th Summer Glazed Daze 2018
90 Mutiny Loss 8-11 800.07 Aug 11th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
84 'Shine Loss 8-11 855.85 Aug 11th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
183 BRUH Win 11-4 1267.06 Aug 11th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
205 Fifth Element** Win 11-4 1143.99 Ignored Aug 11th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
42 Mixfits Loss 8-15 909.72 Aug 12th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
100 FlyTrap Loss 12-15 813.88 Aug 12th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
98 Cahoots Win 15-11 1503.18 Aug 12th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
63 Rowdy Win 14-9 1762.59 Aug 12th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
60 NC Galaxy Win 11-8 1663.16 Sep 8th North Carolina Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
100 FlyTrap Win 11-8 1479.98 Sep 8th North Carolina Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
15 Toro Loss 6-11 1213.94 Sep 8th North Carolina Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
- TAU Win 11-5 1510.64 Sep 8th North Carolina Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
41 Storm Loss 9-13 1060.6 Sep 9th North Carolina Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
63 Rowdy Loss 10-13 960.58 Sep 9th North Carolina Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
42 Mixfits Win 11-10 1599.53 Sep 22nd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
56 Murmur Loss 10-13 993.03 Sep 22nd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
100 FlyTrap Loss 11-12 989.37 Sep 22nd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
84 'Shine Win 11-9 1470.67 Sep 23rd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
98 Cahoots Win 12-10 1360.14 Sep 23rd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
63 Rowdy Loss 6-11 742.02 Sep 23rd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)