#13 Toro (21-14)

avg: 1768.08  •  sd: 74.21  •  top 16/20: 74.8%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
155 Jackpot** Win 13-2 1456.9 Ignored Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
68 JLP Win 13-8 1741.75 Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
27 Rally Loss 11-13 1408.11 Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
20 Weird Win 15-13 1895.63 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
15 Loco Win 13-9 2174.63 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
54 Malice in Wonderland Win 13-6 1942.03 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
27 Rally Win 13-10 1965.1 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
36 BW Ultimate Win 14-6 2124.91 Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
7 Wild Card Loss 9-13 1455.19 Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
11 Lochsa Loss 11-15 1416.92 Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
20 Weird Win 9-6 2100.01 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
15 Loco Win 12-6 2335.37 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
16 Love Tractor Win 8-6 2028 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
8 Slow White Loss 7-12 1309.94 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
3 AMP Win 13-11 2256.99 Aug 31st TCT Pro Championships 2019
41 Jughandle Loss 12-13 1338.84 Aug 31st TCT Pro Championships 2019
12 Snake Country Loss 8-11 1426.41 Aug 31st TCT Pro Championships 2019
34 XIST Win 15-9 2045.72 Sep 1st TCT Pro Championships 2019
10 Space Heater Loss 10-14 1417.73 Sep 1st TCT Pro Championships 2019
6 shame. Loss 10-15 1474.4 Sep 1st TCT Pro Championships 2019
94 Mutiny** Win 13-5 1728.81 Ignored Sep 21st Southeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
47 Huntsville Outlaws Loss 11-13 1212.53 Sep 21st Southeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
21 Bucket Win 13-11 1906.04 Sep 21st Southeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
68 JLP Win 13-6 1845.59 Sep 21st Southeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
43 Murmur Win 13-8 1958.14 Sep 22nd Southeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
21 Bucket Win 12-9 2022.56 Sep 22nd Southeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
20 Weird Win 12-8 2122.6 Sep 22nd Southeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
32 Storm Win 13-8 2057.48 Sep 22nd Southeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
17 Polar Bears Loss 12-13 1584.63 Oct 24th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
10 Space Heater Loss 10-15 1362.83 Oct 24th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
1 Seattle Mixtape Loss 8-14 1535.37 Oct 24th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
17 Polar Bears Loss 9-13 1291.07 Oct 25th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
14 Public Enemy Win 15-3 2359.91 Oct 25th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
10 Space Heater Loss 11-12 1691.43 Oct 25th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
8 Slow White Win 15-13 2044.63 Oct 26th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)