#23 Rally (20-10)

avg: 1711.34  •  sd: 65.36  •  top 16/20: 9.1%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
25 Alloy Loss 9-10 1584.76 Jun 9th AMP Invite 2019
2 AMP Loss 4-15 1507.37 Jun 9th AMP Invite 2019
37 Jughandle Win 12-9 1908.33 Jun 9th AMP Invite 2019
10 Space Heater Loss 8-13 1401.47 Jun 9th AMP Invite 2019
153 Jackpot Win 13-8 1417.15 Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
62 JLP Win 13-4 1951.01 Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
13 Toro Win 13-11 2079.32 Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
131 Legion** Win 13-3 1629.65 Ignored Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
40 Murmur Win 13-8 2036.19 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
13 Toro Loss 10-13 1522.33 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
27 Storm Loss 7-13 1095.52 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
48 Classy Win 15-8 2031.16 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
66 Flight Club Loss 10-13 1005.17 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
26 Public Enemy Win 11-4 2298.29 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
68 Metro North Win 13-7 1872.78 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
52 Mesteño Win 12-4 2041.75 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
24 MOONDOG Loss 11-12 1585.43 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
25 Alloy Loss 10-12 1471.64 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
46 Sparkle Ponies Win 13-3 2090.21 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
17 Steamboat Loss 8-13 1281.09 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
68 Metro North Win 12-7 1835.76 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
85 HVAC Win 14-12 1452.8 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
35 League of Shadows Win 13-7 2120.93 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
17 Steamboat Loss 9-10 1652.25 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
270 Baltimore BENCH** Win 13-0 892.64 Ignored Sep 7th Capital Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
90 Fleet Win 13-7 1754.67 Sep 7th Capital Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
115 Rat City Win 13-8 1601.83 Sep 7th Capital Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
242 RnB** Win 13-2 1065.07 Ignored Sep 7th Capital Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
57 8 Bit Heroes Win 12-9 1737.24 Sep 8th Capital Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
85 HVAC Win 15-8 1796.65 Sep 8th Capital Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)