#102 Tyrannis (20-8)

avg: 1112.17  •  sd: 52.85  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
62 8 Bit Heroes Loss 11-12 1163.07 Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
160 APEX Win 13-3 1428.62 Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
173 Piedmont United Win 13-9 1176.19 Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
190 LORD Win 13-9 1083.92 Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
77 Ant Madness Win 13-7 1779.14 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
259 ThunderCats** Win 13-2 904.02 Ignored Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
165 Possum Win 13-8 1301.68 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
116 Seoulmates Win 12-11 1181.92 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
215 Espionage Win 13-2 1178.33 Jul 13th Battle for the Beltway 2019
233 Stormborn** Win 13-5 1050.35 Ignored Jul 13th Battle for the Beltway 2019
128 Legion Win 12-11 1116.65 Jul 13th Battle for the Beltway 2019
89 HVAC Win 12-10 1390.58 Jul 14th Battle for the Beltway 2019
190 LORD Win 14-7 1248.24 Jul 14th Battle for the Beltway 2019
154 Goose Lee Loss 10-11 732.12 Aug 10th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
47 Huntsville Outlaws Loss 8-12 1000.22 Aug 10th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
83 FlyTrap Loss 12-13 1043.3 Aug 10th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
166 Moonshine Win 12-8 1244.81 Aug 10th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
81 Bexar Loss 12-13 1069.58 Aug 11th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
155 Jackpot Win 13-8 1353.06 Aug 11th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
132 Liquid Hustle Win 15-6 1567.47 Aug 11th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
193 Heavy Flow Loss 11-12 536.14 Sep 7th Capital Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
89 HVAC Loss 10-13 824.32 Sep 7th Capital Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
221 District Cocktails Win 13-4 1143.74 Sep 7th Capital Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
280 Nottoway Flatball Club** Win 13-5 743.38 Ignored Sep 7th Capital Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
193 Heavy Flow Win 13-8 1157.29 Sep 8th Capital Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
215 Espionage Win 15-7 1178.33 Sep 8th Capital Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
110 Rat City Loss 7-14 491.41 Sep 8th Capital Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
190 LORD Win 15-7 1265.35 Sep 8th Capital Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)