#54 JLP (23-13)

avg: 1325.88  •  sd: 66.26  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
79 8 Bit Heroes Win 13-11 1472.06 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2018
78 Malice in Wonderland Win 12-11 1368.54 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2018
153 APEX Win 13-6 1453.35 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2018
18 Loco Loss 7-13 1176.87 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2018
56 Murmur Win 12-11 1446.17 Jun 24th Summer Glazed Daze 2018
100 FlyTrap Win 13-9 1532.94 Jun 24th Summer Glazed Daze 2018
219 Carolina Reign** Win 13-3 1025.47 Ignored Jun 24th Summer Glazed Daze 2018
41 Storm Loss 8-11 1113.55 Jun 24th Summer Glazed Daze 2018
90 Mutiny Loss 5-13 565.68 Jul 21st Club Terminus 2018
151 LoveShack Win 13-6 1456.43 Jul 21st Club Terminus 2018
56 Murmur Loss 7-13 763.64 Jul 22nd Club Terminus 2018
27 Weird Win 10-9 1702.85 Jul 22nd Club Terminus 2018
38 Columbus Cocktails Loss 12-13 1375.3 Jul 22nd Club Terminus 2018
226 Baywatch** Win 13-4 946.12 Ignored Jul 22nd Club Terminus 2018
42 Mixfits Loss 9-13 1055.96 Aug 11th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
219 Carolina Reign** Win 13-3 1025.47 Ignored Aug 11th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
82 Method Loss 8-13 736.46 Aug 11th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
105 Jackpot Win 13-6 1685.69 Aug 11th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
147 Goose Lee Win 13-10 1211.75 Aug 12th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
103 Trash Pandas Loss 16-17 980.22 Aug 12th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
98 Cahoots Win 13-10 1450.16 Aug 12th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
105 Jackpot Loss 12-13 960.69 Aug 12th HoDown%20ShowDown%20XXII
213 Heartbreakers** Win 13-5 1098.98 Ignored Sep 8th East Coast Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
103 Trash Pandas Win 13-9 1523.79 Sep 8th East Coast Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
19 Bucket Loss 4-13 1105.23 Sep 8th East Coast Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
175 Possum Win 13-11 961.33 Sep 8th East Coast Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
56 Murmur Loss 10-11 1196.17 Sep 9th East Coast Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
103 Trash Pandas Win 11-9 1354.43 Sep 9th East Coast Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
153 APEX Win 13-9 1271.92 Sep 9th East Coast Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
90 Mutiny Win 13-3 1765.68 Sep 22nd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
84 'Shine Win 12-11 1346.46 Sep 22nd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
19 Bucket Loss 8-12 1264.07 Sep 22nd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
63 Rowdy Win 13-8 1784.88 Sep 22nd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
42 Mixfits Win 13-10 1802.67 Sep 23rd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
60 NC Galaxy Win 9-7 1576.88 Sep 23rd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
27 Weird Loss 10-11 1452.85 Sep 23rd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)