#99 Legion (16-13)

avg: 1115.26  •  sd: 105.81  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
100 FlyTrap Loss 9-12 769.01 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2018
156 Heavy Flow Win 12-5 1439.56 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2018
95 Ant Madness Loss 7-13 589.75 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2018
176 ThunderCats Win 12-7 1226.84 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2018
56 Murmur Loss 7-12 800.66 Jun 24th Summer Glazed Daze 2018
98 Cahoots Win 14-10 1520.72 Jun 24th Summer Glazed Daze 2018
78 Malice in Wonderland Loss 8-14 707.5 Jun 24th Summer Glazed Daze 2018
127 Funk Win 11-6 1527.57 Aug 11th Philly Open 2018
165 Unlimited Swipes Win 12-7 1308.77 Aug 11th Philly Open 2018
141 Powermove Win 8-6 1194.01 Aug 11th Philly Open 2018
117 The Process Loss 6-12 453.08 Aug 11th Philly Open 2018
206 Varsity Win 12-11 667.7 Aug 12th Philly Open 2018
127 Funk Loss 5-11 380.88 Aug 12th Philly Open 2018
83 Birds Loss 4-13 625.54 Aug 12th Philly Open 2018
- Hott Olson Win 11-7 834.27 Sep 8th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
- Huck Norris** Win 11-1 770.97 Ignored Sep 8th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
24 Rally Loss 8-11 1245.5 Sep 8th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
224 Stormborn Win 11-5 957.45 Sep 8th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
- Fireball Loss 10-11 1101.5 Sep 8th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
156 Heavy Flow Win 9-8 964.56 Sep 9th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
126 American Hyperbole Win 9-7 1261.6 Sep 9th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
- Fireball Loss 13-15 1012.32 Sep 9th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
24 Rally Loss 9-14 1137.24 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
30 Jughandle Loss 8-13 1061.19 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
5 Space Heater Loss 7-13 1405.41 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
117 The Process Win 13-4 1632.39 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
132 HVAC Win 14-6 1562.53 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
149 Crucible Win 15-9 1395.19 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
59 Distelfink Win 8-6 1601.2 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)