#18 Loco (32-6)

avg: 1734.4  •  sd: 93.05  •  top 16/20: 77.3%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
219 Carolina Reign** Win 13-0 1025.47 Ignored Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2018
78 Malice in Wonderland Win 13-5 1843.54 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2018
153 APEX Win 13-10 1181.5 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2018
54 JLP Win 13-7 1883.41 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2018
15 Toro Win 15-12 2061.13 Jun 24th Summer Glazed Daze 2018
101 Tyrannis** Win 15-3 1712.39 Ignored Jun 24th Summer Glazed Daze 2018
79 8 Bit Heroes Win 13-8 1739.38 Jun 24th Summer Glazed Daze 2018
41 Storm Win 15-5 2079.16 Jun 24th Summer Glazed Daze 2018
237 Turnstyle** Win 15-1 805.28 Ignored Jul 7th Philly Invite 2018
152 Peep Show** Win 15-5 1455.36 Ignored Jul 7th Philly Invite 2018
87 Sparkle Ponies Win 15-7 1777.43 Jul 7th Philly Invite 2018
66 The Feminists Win 15-5 1883.56 Jul 7th Philly Invite 2018
50 Grand Army Win 15-7 1969.68 Jul 8th Philly Invite 2018
141 Powermove** Win 15-0 1493.51 Ignored Jul 8th Philly Invite 2018
30 Jughandle Win 13-7 2114.88 Jul 8th Philly Invite 2018
22 XIST Win 13-5 2218.05 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
49 Cosa Nostra Win 13-7 1929.32 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
59 Distelfink Win 13-10 1628.85 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
31 Metro North Win 12-9 1901.68 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
32 UNION Win 13-8 2036.96 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
5 Space Heater Win 13-10 2291.08 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
6 Snake Country Loss 7-13 1385.45 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
222 I-79** Win 11-1 984.34 Ignored Sep 8th Founders Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
26 Alloy Loss 8-9 1464.35 Sep 8th Founders Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
152 Peep Show** Win 11-4 1455.36 Ignored Sep 8th Founders Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
117 The Process** Win 11-0 1632.39 Ignored Sep 8th Founders Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
163 Stoke** Win 11-2 1396.61 Ignored Sep 8th Founders Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
26 Alloy Loss 6-10 1093.19 Sep 9th Founders Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
59 Distelfink Win 9-8 1425.71 Sep 9th Founders Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
59 Distelfink Win 9-5 1829.77 Sep 9th Founders Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
24 Rally Win 13-8 2107.27 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
87 Sparkle Ponies Win 13-8 1673.59 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
113 The Bandits Win 13-6 1643.49 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
5 Space Heater Loss 2-13 1362.94 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
1 AMP Loss 3-15 1553.89 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
24 Rally Win 12-10 1849.23 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
95 Ant Madness Win 15-6 1747.28 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
30 Jughandle Loss 12-14 1336.39 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)