#51 Darkwing (26-8)

avg: 1410.14  •  sd: 69.03  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
71 Chaotic Good Loss 7-11 767.16 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
57 Metro North Loss 8-13 832.85 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
8 Slow White Loss 7-11 1363.56 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
12 Snake Country Loss 7-11 1325.13 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
120 Battleship Win 12-10 1286.45 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
153 Buffalo Lake Effect Win 14-5 1459.03 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
86 The Feminists Loss 9-10 1039.15 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
201 Nautilus** Win 13-4 1232.77 Ignored Jul 20th Vacationland 2019
207 Face Off** Win 13-1 1205.01 Ignored Jul 20th Vacationland 2019
257 Equinox** Win 13-2 913.24 Ignored Jul 20th Vacationland 2019
263 Albany Airbenders** Win 13-5 875.73 Ignored Jul 20th Vacationland 2019
133 Night Shift Win 13-5 1561.88 Jul 21st Vacationland 2019
210 Sorted Beans** Win 13-0 1197.53 Ignored Jul 21st Vacationland 2019
93 Sunken Circus Win 9-4 1733.39 Jul 21st Vacationland 2019
105 Happy Valley Win 13-6 1699.6 Aug 17th Chowdafest 2019
207 Face Off** Win 13-5 1205.01 Ignored Aug 17th Chowdafest 2019
150 Scarecrow Win 11-8 1227.63 Aug 17th Chowdafest 2019
210 Sorted Beans Win 13-7 1155.06 Aug 17th Chowdafest 2019
92 The Bandits Win 12-6 1713.66 Aug 17th Chowdafest 2019
86 The Feminists Win 13-7 1721.68 Aug 18th Chowdafest 2019
85 Eat Lightning Win 13-9 1583.68 Aug 18th Chowdafest 2019
275 Dead Reckoning** Win 17-2 798.9 Ignored Sep 7th East New England Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
93 Sunken Circus Win 10-8 1396.06 Sep 7th East New England Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
203 Rainbow** Win 15-5 1229.93 Ignored Sep 7th East New England Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
49 League of Shadows Win 13-9 1856.28 Sep 8th East New England Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
7 Wild Card Loss 10-14 1475.06 Sep 8th East New England Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
49 League of Shadows Win 15-11 1818.87 Sep 8th East New England Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
153 Buffalo Lake Effect Win 13-6 1459.03 Sep 21st Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
71 Chaotic Good Win 10-9 1359.05 Sep 21st Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
34 XIST Loss 7-10 1140.57 Sep 21st Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
85 Eat Lightning Loss 7-10 775.45 Sep 21st Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
91 Garbage Plates Win 11-10 1260.45 Sep 22nd Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
105 Happy Valley Win 15-10 1553.2 Sep 22nd Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
86 The Feminists Win 13-9 1582.72 Sep 22nd Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)